Cristian Garin and Facundo Diaz Acosta will fight against each other in the final of the Antofagasta Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.86
Facundo Diaz Acosta -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Facundo Diaz Acosta

This will be the 2^nd time that Cristian Garin and Facundo Diaz Acosta square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Garin (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Garin won 7-5 7-5 in the quarter in the Noumea Challenger back in 2023.

Cristian Garin

Ranked no. 125, Christian got to the final after beating Benjamin Torrealba 6-3 6-2, Franco Roncadelli 2-6 6-1 6-1, Hady Habib 7-6(11) 1-6 6-3 and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 7-6(5) 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Daniel Vallejo (7-6⁵ 6-2). During the match, Garin scored 81 points vs Daniel Vallejo’s 73. Christian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Garin struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 64% of his first serves in, winning 61% (33/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Daniel Vallejo 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Christian has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Garin has good match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (309-218). 28-11 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Garin has an aggregate 206-119 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he overcame Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4 and the Oeiras 5 Challenger where he defeated Mitchell Krueger in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 6-2.

Christian has an overall 38-20 win-loss record in 2025, 28-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Antofagasta Challenger

Christian has never competed in this tournament before.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Ranked no. 265, Facundo got to the final after beating Nicolas Kicker 7-6(2) 6-4, Lukas Neumayer 6-4 6-3, Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-7(4) 6-2 6-2 and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 4-6 6-1 6-4

.

In the semifinal against Lucas Reis Da, Diaz recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Diaz scored 112 points vs Lucas Reis Da’s 98. Diaz was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Diaz made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Facundo Diaz Acosta lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Diaz put 57% of his first serves in, winning 61% (33/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (27/41) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Lucas Reis Da 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Facundo has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Diaz’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Trieste Challenger,the Szczecin Challenger and the Antofagasta Challenger.

Diaz has a compiled 18-15 win-loss record in 2025, 14-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Garin	Diaz
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	10
Tot Games	89	98
Pts	331-294	371-311
Total Points	625	682
Winners	131	147
%Winners	40%	40%

Both Garin and Diaz played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cristian Garin conceded 2 sets, while Facundo Diaz Acosta lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Garin and Diaz have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Garin played 9 games less than Diaz. The Chilean scored 131 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine bagged 147 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Garin	Diaz
Aces	15	14
Avg per match	3.8	3.5
1st in	199/335	210/332
%1st in	59%	63%
1st pts	131/199	147/210
%1st pts	66%	70%
2nd pts	65/136	66/122
%2nd pts	48%	54%

Garin recorded 15 aces (3.8 per match). Diaz struck 14 aces (3.5 per match). Garin won 66% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Diaz won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Garin	Diaz
Won	20	16
Converted	20/42	16/40
% Converted	48%	40%
Conceded	36	22
Saved	23	15
% Saved	64%	68%
Times Broken	13	7

Garin broke his opponents 20 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Chilean dropped his serve 13 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Facundo broke his opponents 16 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Garin
	R1 Torrealba	R2 Roncadelli	1/4 Habib	1/2 Daniel	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	2-6 6-1 6-1	7-611 1-6 6-3	7-65 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	3	2	10
Tot Games	17	22	29	21	89
pts	73-53	80-62	97-106	81-73	331-294
Total points	126	142	203	154	625
Winners	30	22	46	33	131
%Winners	41%	28%	47%	41%	40%
SERVE
Aces	2	0	8	5	15
Double Faults	4	3	8	3	18
1st in	42/66	37/77	66/108	54/84	199/335
% 1st in	64%	48%	61%	64%	59%
1st pts	30/42	22/37	46/66	33/54	131/199
% 1st pts	71%	59%	70%	61%	66%
2nd pts	12/24	24/40	17/42	12/30	65/136
% 2nd pts	50%	60%	40%	40%	48%
Breaks
Won	4	6	4	6	20
Converted	4/13	6/9	4/10	6/10	20/42
Converted %	31%	67%	40%	60%	48%
Conceded	5	9	11	11	36
Saved	4/5	6/9	6/11	7/11	23
Saved %	80%	67%	55%	64%	67%
Times Broken	1	3	5	4	13

Diaz
	R1 Kicker	R2 Neumayer	1/4 Guillen Meza	1/2 Lucas Reis Da	Total
Score	7-62 6-4	6-4 6-3	6-74 6-2 6-2	4-6 6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	23	19	29	27	98
pts	93-82	62-50	104-81	112-98	371-311
Total points	175	112	185	210	682
Winners	39	26	49	33	147
%Winners	42%	42%	47%	29%	40%
SERVE
Aces	4	4	4	2	14
Double Faults	2	2	1	2	7
1st in	59/87	32/60	65/90	54/95	210/332
% 1st in	68%	53%	72%	57%	63%
1st pts	39/59	26/32	49/65	33/54	147/210
% 1st pts	66%	81%	75%	61%	70%
2nd pts	15/28	14/28	10/25	27/41	66/122
% 2nd pts	54%	50%	40%	66%	54%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6	4	16
Converted	3/9	3/7	6/11	4/13	16/40
Converted %	33%	43%	55%	31%	40%
Conceded	9	3	3	7	22
Saved	7/9	2/3	1/3	5/7	15
Saved %	78%	67%	33%	71%	62%
Times Broken	2	1	2	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Christian GarinGarin (0-1) – H2H and prediction