Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Patrick Kypson will square off in the final of the Mouilleron for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolai Budkov Kjaer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is the pick to win this match.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 1.87
Patrick Kypson -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Patrick Kypson
There is no head to head record between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Patrick Kypson since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
47 - 23win/loss
133
132
LLLLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-27 | 7-2 | 18-12 | 22-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-11 | 5-5 | 19-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149 (career-high), the Norwegian reached the final after defeating Nikolay Vylegzhanin 6-1 6-3, Loann Massard 6-3 6-2, Francesco Passaro 6-4 6-4 and Clement Chidekh 6-1 4-6 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Norwegian defeated Chidekh (6-1 4-6 6-2). During the match, Budkov Kjaer scored 92 points vs Chidekh’s 72. Nicolai was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Budkov Kjaer fired 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Budkov Kjaer put 66% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the 2nd serve. Budkov Kjaer broke Chidekh 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Budkov Kjaer has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Budkov Kjaer has a solid win-loss record in the last 3 years having won 67% of his matches (73-36). 19-6 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Budkov Kjaer has an overall21-7 record in the last 3 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Glasgow Challenger where he overcame Viktor Durasovic in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Tampere Challenger where he beat Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the final 7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-2 and the Astana Challenger where he overcame Alexandr Binda in the final 6-4 6-3.
The Norwegian has a compiled 47-23 win-loss record in 2025, 19-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Nicolai has never competed in this tournament before.
Patrick Kypson
32 - 12win/loss
118
117
WWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-15 | 19-8 | 7-1 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-27 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-21 | 10-11 | 17-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-14 | 13-7 | 2-2 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-11 | 4-2 | 20-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 184, Patrick got to the final after beating Calvin Hemery 6-4 6-3, Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-2 6-3, Emil Ruusuvuori 2-6 6-4 6-3 and Raphael Collignon 6-1 6-7(2) 7-5.
In the semifinal, The American defeated Collignon (6-1 6-72 7-5). During the match Kypson scored 117 points vs Collignon’s 102. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 58 winners.
About the serving games, Kypson fired 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Patrick Kypson lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kypson put 74% of his first serves in, winning 72% (58/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 28% (8/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Collignon 7 times after converting 78% of his break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Patrick has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Bogota Challenger where he overcame Pedro Sakamoto in the final 6-1 6-3 and the Little Rock Challenger where he beat Michael Zheng in the final 6-1 1-6 7-5.
The American has an overall 32-12 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Patrick has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Budkov Kjaer | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 95 |
| Pts | 286-217 | 334-280 |
| Total Points | 503 | 614 |
| Winners | 121 | 157 |
| %Winners | 42% | 47% |
Both Budkov Kjaer and Kypson played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer lost 1 set, while Patrick Kypson lost 2 sets. Budkov Kjaer has played 1 set(s) less than Kypson (9 vs 10). Therefore, Budkov Kjaer played 17 games less than Kypson. Nicolai scored 121 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 157 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Budkov Kjaer | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 155/233 | 215/293 |
| %1st in | 67% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 121/155 | 157/215 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 49/78 | 42/78 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 54% |
Budkov Kjaer made 30 aces (7.5 per match). Kypson fired 26 aces (6.5 per match). Budkov Kjaer won 78% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Kypson won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Budkov Kjaer | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 16 |
| Converted | 13/45 | 16/29 |
| % Converted | 29% | 55% |
| Conceded | 9 | 26 |
| Saved | 8 | 20 |
| % Saved | 89% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
The Norwegian broke his opponents 13 times with a 29% conversion rate. Budkov Kjaer dropped his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Kypson broke his opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Patrick conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Budkov Kjaer | ||||||
| R1 Vylegzhanin |
R2 Massard |
1/4 Passaro |
1/2 Chidekh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 20 | 25 | 78 | |
| pts | 67-42 | 59-45 | 68-58 | 92-72 | 286-217 | |
| Total points | 109 | 104 | 126 | 164 | 503 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 33 | 37 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 47% | 49% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 27/42 | 34/53 | 41/58 | 53/80 | 155/233 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | 71% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 28/34 | 33/41 | 37/53 | 121/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 82% | 80% | 70% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 11/19 | 10/17 | 18/27 | 49/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 58% | 59% | 67% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/17 | 3/6 | 2/8 | 4/14 | 13/45 | |
| Converted % | 24% | 50% | 25% | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 2/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Kypson | ||||||
| R1 Hemery |
R2 Herbert |
1/4 Ruusuvuori |
1/2 Collignon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 2-6 6-4 6-3 | 6-1 6-72 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 27 | 32 | 95 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 66-51 | 84-78 | 117-102 | 334-280 | |
| Total points | 116 | 117 | 162 | 219 | 614 | |
| Winners | 28 | 31 | 40 | 58 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 47% | 48% | 50% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 33/43 | 47/61 | 54/79 | 81/110 | 215/293 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | 68% | 74% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 31/47 | 40/54 | 58/81 | 157/215 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 66% | 74% | 72% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/10 | 9/14 | 16/25 | 8/29 | 42/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 90% | 64% | 64% | 28% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/8 | 2/5 | 7/9 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 40% | 78% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 6/6 | 4/6 | 8/12 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Patrick KypsonKypson – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
