Holger Rune and Ugo Humbert will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.51
Ugo Humbert -> 2.55

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Ugo Humbert

This will be the 5^th time that Holger Rune and Ugo Humbert fight against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Rune won 5-7 6-4 7-5 in the 3^rd round in Indian wells back in March 2025.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbert – Indian wells 09-March-2025

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 11, Rune got to the 3^rd round after defeating Sebastian Baez 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Baez (7-5 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 74 points vs Baez’s 65. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune recorded 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 62% of his first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (9/26) on the 2nd serve. Rune broke Baez 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (283-150). 18-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has an aggregate69-51 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Barcelona where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

The Dane has an aggregate 32-20 win-loss record in 2025, 18-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Ugo Humbert

Ranked no. 26, Humbert got to the 3^rd round after defeating Jordan Thompson 6-3 7-6(4).

In the 2^nd round, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Thompson (6-3 7-6⁴). During the match Humbert scored 79 points vs Thompson’s 67. Humbert was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Humbert fired 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ugo Humbert was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (40/51) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Thompson twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

His best result of the year was winning the title in Marseille where he defeated Hamad Medjedovic in the final 7-6(4) 6-4.

The French player has an overall 19-17 win-loss record in 2025, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rune	Humbert
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
Pts	74-65	79-67
Total Points	139	146
Winners	32	40
%Winners	43%	51%

Both Rune and Humbert played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rune and Humbert have played the same amount of sets 2. They also played the same amount of games (22). Holger scored 32 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Humbert bagged 40 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rune	Humbert
Aces	3	9
Avg per match	3	9
1st in	42/68	51/71
%1st in	62%	72%
1st pts	32/42	40/51
%1st pts	76%	78%
2nd pts	9/26	11/20
%2nd pts	35%	55%

Rune fired 3 aces . Humbert made 9 aces . Rune won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rune	Humbert
Won	5	2
Converted	5/13	2/7
% Converted	38%	29%
Conceded	6	4
Saved	3	3
% Saved	50%	75%
Times Broken	3	1

Holger broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Holger lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Ugo conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
	R2 Baez	Total
Score	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	74-65	74-65
Total points	139	139
Winners	32	32
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	42/68	42/68
% 1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	32/42	32/42
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	9/26	9/26
% 2nd pts	35%	35%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/13	5/13
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	3/6	3
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	3	3

Humbert
	R2 Thompson	Total
Score	6-3 7-64
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	79-67	79-67
Total points	146	146
Winners	40	40
%Winners	51%	51%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	51/71	51/71
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	40/51	40/51
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	11/20	11/20
% 2nd pts	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/7	2/7
Converted %	29%	29%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	75%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Andrey RublevRublev (2-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Jakub MensikMensik (4-6 7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-7⁹ 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Casper RuudRuud (3-6 7-5 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Sebastian BaezBaez (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-1 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard – Luca NardiNardi (6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Gabriel DialloDiallo – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Alexander BublikBublik (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (2-6 7-6⁴ 7-6¹) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-6³ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Marin CilicCilic (7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Quentin HalysHalys (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Jakub MensikMensik (4-6 7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Andrey RublevRublev (2-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Corentin MoutetMoutet – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• David GoffinGoffin – Gabriel DialloDiallo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction