Daniel Merida Aguilar and Hugo Grenier will play each other in the semifinal of the Villena Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on PISTA CARLOS ALCARAZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniel Merida Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.83
Hugo Grenier -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Hugo Grenier

There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Hugo Grenier since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Ranked no. 169, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after defeating Ryan Peniston 6-4 6-2, Maks Kasnikowski 6-4 6-3 and George Loffhagen 6-1 1-6 7-5.

In the quarter, Daniel defeated Loffhagen (6-1 1-6 7-5). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 90 points vs Loffhagen’s 83. Daniel was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Merida Aguilar couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Merida Aguilar put 74% of his first serves in, winning 63% (40/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Loffhagen 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniel has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Merida Aguilar has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (182-126). 15-4 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Merida Aguilar has a composed57-39 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he beat Fajing Sun in the final 6-3 6-4.

Merida Aguilar has a compiled 46-19 win-loss record in 2025, 15-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villena Challenger

Hugo Grenier

Ranked no. 195, Grenier got to the semifinal after beating Hynek Barton 6-3 6-3, Moez Echargui 6-4 6-4 and Tom Gentzsch 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Gentzsch (7-5 6-2). During the match Grenier scored 64 points vs Gentzsch’s 48. Hugo was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Grenier managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Hugo Grenier lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Grenier put 65% of his first serves in, winning 84% (31/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The French player was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Gentzsch 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hugo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Grenier’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Morelia Challenger and the Porto Challenger.

Hugo has a compiled 32-29 win-loss record in 2025, 24-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villena Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Merida Aguilar	Grenier
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	63	58
Pts	228-195	189-147
Total Points	423	336
Winners	97	86
%Winners	43%	46%

Both Merida Aguilar and Grenier played 3 matches. At the moment, Daniel Merida Aguilar dropped 1 set while Hugo Grenier hasn’t dropped a set so far. Merida Aguilar has played 1 set more than Grenier (7 vs 6). Therefore, Merida Aguilar played 5 games more than Grenier. Merida Aguilar scored 97 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The French player managed to score 86 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Merida Aguilar	Grenier
Aces	3	16
Avg per match	1	5.3
1st in	150/204	106/166
%1st in	74%	64%
1st pts	97/150	86/106
%1st pts	65%	81%
2nd pts	25/54	34/60
%2nd pts	46%	57%

Merida Aguilar made 3 aces (1 per match). Grenier blasted 16 aces (5.3 per match). Merida Aguilar won 65% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Grenier won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Merida Aguilar	Grenier
Won	15	10
Converted	15/30	10/15
% Converted	50%	67%
Conceded	18	9
Saved	10	7
% Saved	56%	78%
Times Broken	8	2

Daniel broke his opponents 15 times with a 50% conversion rate. Daniel surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Grenier broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Merida Aguilar
	R1 Peniston	R2 Kasnikowski	1/4 Loffhagen	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-3	6-1 1-6 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	18	19	26	63
pts	76-61	62-51	90-83	228-195
Total points	137	113	173	423
Winners	32	25	40	97
%Winners	42%	40%	44%	43%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	0	3
Double Faults	2	0	2	4
1st in	53/71	34/48	63/85	150/204
% 1st in	75%	71%	74%	74%
1st pts	32/53	25/34	40/63	97/150
% 1st pts	60%	74%	63%	65%
2nd pts	7/18	6/14	12/22	25/54
% 2nd pts	39%	43%	55%	46%
Breaks
Won	6	5	4	15
Converted	6/8	5/11	4/11	15/30
Converted %	75%	45%	36%	50%
Conceded	9	2	7	18
Saved	6/9	0/2	4/7	10
Saved %	67%	0%	57%	41%
Times Broken	3	2	3	8

Grenier
	R1 Barton	R2 Echargui	1/4 Gentzsch	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-4 6-4	7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	20	20	58
pts	65-48	60-51	64-48	189-147
Total points	113	111	112	336
Winners	26	29	31	86
%Winners	40%	48%	48%	46%
SERVE
Aces	3	8	5	16
Double Faults	4	2	4	10
1st in	33/57	36/52	37/57	106/166
% 1st in	58%	69%	65%	64%
1st pts	26/33	29/36	31/37	86/106
% 1st pts	79%	81%	84%	81%
2nd pts	13/24	12/16	9/20	34/60
% 2nd pts	54%	75%	45%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	2	4	10
Converted	4/8	2/3	4/4	10/15
Converted %	50%	67%	100%	67%
Conceded	4	2	3	9
Saved	3/4	2/2	2/3	7
Saved %	75%	100%	67%	81%
Times Broken	1	0	1	2

Tennis Scores in Villena Challenger

• Petr Nouza/Patrik RiklNouza/Patrik Rikl – Theo Arribage/Constantin FrantzenArribage/Constantin Frantzen (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw