Alex De Minaur and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will play each other in the 2nd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.064
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 8.8

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Camilo Ugo Carabelli since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

47 - 18win/loss

Hard
27-10
I Hard
7-1
Clay
10-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 7, the Australian will start his run in Shanghai after he played his last match in Beijing where he lost 6-3 4-6 6-2 to Sinner in the semifinal on the 30th of September.

The Australian has a composed 47-18 win-loss record in 2025, 27-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Washington where he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

Talking about his overall career, The Australian has an overall 412-226 record. He has a positive 198-96 record on hard.

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018. See his history.

Shanghai
De Minaur's Record

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

32 - 25win/loss

Hard
5-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
27-14
Grass
0-3
Rank
49
High
43
LWLLLWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-29 5-9 27-14 1-3 0-3 0-0
2024 58-30 6-5 52-24 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 41-26 0-2 41-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-24 3-4 36-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 43-24 4-2 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 45, Ugo Carabelli reached the 2nd round after defeating Terence Atmane 4-4 ret..

In the 1st round against Atmane, the Argentine had a free pass after Atmane retired on a 4-4 . scoreline.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Rosario Challenger where he overcame Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.

Camilo has a composed 32-25 win-loss record in 2025, 5-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shanghai
Ugo Carabelli's Record

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

Upcoming matches in the draw