Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Arnaldi will face off in the 2^nd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:30 pm on COURT 7. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.44
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Matteo Arnaldi

This will be the 4^th time that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Arnaldi face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Davidovich Fokina won 6-4 6-4 in the semifinal in Delray beach back in February 2025.

Highlights Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Arnaldi – Delray beach 15-February-2025

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranked no. 20, the Spaniard will start his run in Shanghai after he played his last match in Beijing where he lost 6-3 6-3 to Medvedev in the 2^nd round on the 28^th of September.

Davidovich Fokina has a composed 36-22 win-loss record in 2025, 21-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

The Spaniard’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Delray Beach, Acapulco and Washington.

Talking about his overall career, The Spaniard has an overall 297-216 record. He has a positive 136-86 record on hard.

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Matteo Arnaldi

Ranked no. 71, the Italian got to the 2^nd round after beating Rei Sakamoto 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Sakamoto (7-6³ 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 71 points vs Sakamoto’s 67. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Arnaldi fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 68% of his first serves in, winning 78% (35/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Sakamoto 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

The Italian has a composed 20-22 win-loss record in 2025, 11-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Mariano NavoneNavone (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Juncheng ShangShang – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur CazauxCazaux – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6⁵ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (6-3 6-7⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Yibing WuWu (7-5 ret.) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (7-6² 6-1) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Rei SakamotoSakamoto (7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Yi ZhouZhou (6-7¹ 6-2 7-6³) – See score progression
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Terence AtmaneAtmane (4-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-7³ 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Quentin HalysHalys – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Marin CilicCilic – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-7⁶ 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Laslo DjereDjere (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Adam WaltonWalton (7-6⁶ 6-1) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Sebastian OfnerOfner (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – August HolmgrenHolmgren (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (2-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marin CilicCilic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (2-19) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Valentin RoyerRoyer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Quentin HalysHalys – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jordan ThompsonThompson (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction