Nicolas Mejia and Rafael Jodar will play each other in the quarter of the Tiburon Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on KENNEDY-GROSSMAN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Jodar who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Jodar is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Jodar -> 1.4
Nicolas Mejia -> 2.77

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Mejia vs. Rafael Jodar

This will be the 2^nd time that Nicolas Mejia and Rafael Jodar clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Jodar (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Jodar won 6-3 6-2 in the 1^st round in the Columbus Challenger back in September 2025.

Nicolas Mejia

Ranked no. 198, the Colombian got to the quarter after beating Andres Martin 6-4 4-6 7-6(5) and Mats Rosenkranz 2-6 6-4 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round against Rosenkranz, Nicolas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-6⁵). During the match, Mejia and Rosenkranz scored the same amount of points (100). However, the world no. 198 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Mejia was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mejia scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Nicolas Mejia lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mejia put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (39/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. The Colombian broke Rosenkranz 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nicolas has lost 2 set in this event to win 49% of the points he played.

Mejia has good match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (240-207). 21-18 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mejia has an aggregate 104-92 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Savannah Challenger where he beat Liam Draxl in the final 2-6 6-2 7-6(3).

The Colombian has an overall 33-28 win-loss record in 2025, 21-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tiburon Challenger

Rafael Jodar

Ranked no. 309, the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Andre Ilagan 6-3 3-6 6-1 and Jack Pinnington Jones 6-2 6-3.

In the 2^nd

round, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Pinnington Jones (6-2 6-3). During the match Jodar scored 64 points vs Pinnington Jones’s 41. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

About the serving games, Jodar scored 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rafael Jodar was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rafael broke Pinnington Jones 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Hersonissos 3 Challenger where he overcame Dan Added in the final 6-4 6-2.

Rafael has a compiled 27-10 win-loss record in 2025, 22-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tiburon Challenger

The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mejia	Jodar
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	5
Tot Games	64	42
Pts	210-215	162-126
Total Points	425	288
Winners	90	58
%Winners	43%	36%

Both Mejia and Jodar played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Nicolas Mejia surrendered 2 sets, while Rafael Jodar surrendered 1 set. Mejia has played 1 set more than Jodar (6 vs 5). Therefore, Mejia played 22 games more than Jodar. The Colombian scored 90 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 58 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mejia	Jodar
Aces	4	16
Avg per match	2	8
1st in	130/210	77/135
%1st in	62%	57%
1st pts	90/130	58/77
%1st pts	69%	75%
2nd pts	34/80	30/58
%2nd pts	43%	52%

Mejia struck 4 aces (2 per match). Jodar blasted 16 aces (8 per match). Mejia won 69% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Jodar won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mejia	Jodar
Won	8	9
Converted	8/20	9/23
% Converted	40%	39%
Conceded	23	9
Saved	14	5
% Saved	61%	56%
Times Broken	9	4

Nicolas broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Mejia lost his serve 9 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Rafael broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Jodar conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Mejia
	R1 Martin	R2 Rosenkranz	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 7-65	2-6 6-4 7-65
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	33	31	64
pts	110-115	100-100	210-215
Total points	225	200	425
Winners	51	39	90
%Winners	46%	39%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	4
Double Faults	7	1	8
1st in	72/118	58/92	130/210
% 1st in	61%	63%	62%
1st pts	51/72	39/58	90/130
% 1st pts	71%	67%	69%
2nd pts	18/46	16/34	34/80
% 2nd pts	39%	47%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/9	4/11	8/20
Converted %	44%	36%	40%
Conceded	13	10	23
Saved	9/13	5/10	14
Saved %	69%	50%	60%
Times Broken	4	5	9

Jodar
	R1 Ilagan	R2 Pinnington	Total
Score	6-3 3-6 6-1	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	25	17	42
pts	98-85	64-41	162-126
Total points	183	105	288
Winners	37	21	58
%Winners	38%	33%	36%
SERVE
Aces	10	6	16
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	50/84	27/51	77/135
% 1st in	60%	53%	57%
1st pts	37/50	21/27	58/77
% 1st pts	74%	78%	75%
2nd pts	17/34	13/24	30/58
% 2nd pts	50%	54%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/13	5/10	9/23
Converted %	31%	50%	39%
Conceded	6	3	9
Saved	4/6	1/3	5
Saved %	67%	33%	50%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Nicolas MejiaMejia – (0-1) – H2H and prediction