Francesco Passaro and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will play each other in the quarter of the Mouilleron for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolai Budkov Kjaer who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is the pick to win this match.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 1.83
Francesco Passaro -> 1.89

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Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

This will be the 2nd time that Francesco Passaro and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Budkov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Budkov won 7-6(4) 4-6 6-0 in the 1st round in the Montemar Challenger back in 2024.

Francesco Passaro

Francesco Passaro

33 - 20win/loss

Hard
8-5
I Hard
2-0
Clay
23-14
Grass
0-1
Rank
128
High
89
WWLLWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-26 8-5 23-14 10-6 0-1 0-0
2024 39-25 4-5 35-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 28-35 8-11 18-20 2-3 0-1 0-0
2022 49-28 12-6 35-18 2-4 0-0 0-0
2021 43-27 4-5 39-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 139, Francesco reached the quarter after defeating Chris Rodesch 6-3 7-6(6) and Robert Strombachs 5-7 6-3 7-6(0).

In the 2nd round against Strombachs, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 7-60). During the match, Passaro scored 102 points vs Strombachs’s 101. Passaro was very aggressive to blast 65 winners.

Regarding the service games, Passaro buried his opponent with 20 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Francesco Passaro lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Passaro put 70% of his first serves in, winning 79% (65/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Passaro was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Strombachs once.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Passaro has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (207-152). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Passaro has a composed6-7 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

The Italian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Sassuolo Challenger.

Passaro has a composed 33-20 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Le

Passaro has never competed in this tournament before.

Le
Passaro's Record

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

45 - 23win/loss

Hard
7-2
I Hard
17-6
Clay
18-12
Grass
3-3
Rank
132
High
132
LLLLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-27 7-2 18-12 22-10 3-3 0-0
2024 26-11 5-5 19-5 2-1 0-0 0-0
2023 0-2 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 149 (career-high), the Norwegian reached the quarter after beating Nikolay Vylegzhanin 6-1 6-3

and Loann Massard 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Budkov had a good straight sets win against Massard (6-3 6-2). During the match Budkov scored 59 points vs Massard’s 45. Nicolai was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Budkov managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer was very efficient on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nicolai broke Massard 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nicolai hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Glasgow Challenger where he overcame Viktor Durasovic in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Tampere Challenger where he defeated Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the final 7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-2 and the Astana Challenger where he beat Alexandr Binda in the final 6-4 6-3.

Nicolai has an overall 45-23 win-loss record in 2025, 17-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Le

The Norwegian has never competed in this tournament before.

Le
Budkov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Passaro
N.Budkov Kjaer
!
3h:38
3h:38
Time on court​
2h:12
2h:12
!
2h:10
2h:10
Last match​
1h:05
1h:05
2
2
Match played
2
2
56
56
Games Played​
33
33
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
175
175
Total points​
126
126
87.5
87.5
Avg point​
63
63
103
103
Winners
51
51
51.5
51.5
Avg Winners​
25.5
25.5
59%
59%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
24
24
Aces
15
15
!
12
12
Avg Aces
7.5
7.5
0
0
Double Faults
2
2
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1
1
103/130
103/130
1st won total​
51/61
51/61
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
27/54
27/54
2nd won total​
21/34
21/34
50%
50%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
2/2
2/2
BP won
7/23
7/23
1/1
1/1
Avg BP won
3.5/11.5
3.5/11.5
!
100%
100%
Won
30%
30%
9
9
Conceded
5
5
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
2.5
2.5
1
1
Broken
0
0
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
8
8
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Passaro Budkov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 56 33
Pts 175-164 126-87
Total Points 339 213
Winners 103 51
%Winners 59% 40%

Both Passaro and Budkov played 2 matches. At the moment, Francesco Passaro surrendered 1 set while Nicolai Budkov Kjaer hasn’t conceded a set so far. Passaro has played 1 set more than Budkov (5 vs 4). Therefore, Passaro played 23 games more than Budkov. The Italian scored 103 winners (59% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolai fired 51 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Passaro Budkov
Aces 24 15
Avg per match 12 7.5
1st in 130/184 61/95
%1st in 71% 64%
1st pts 103/130 51/61
%1st pts 79% 84%
2nd pts 27/54 21/34
%2nd pts 50% 62%

Passaro blasted 24 aces (12 per match). Budkov fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Passaro won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Budkov won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Passaro Budkov
Won 2 7
Converted 2/2 7/23
% Converted 100% 30%
Conceded 9 5
Saved 8 5
% Saved 89% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Francesco broke his opponents twice with a 100% conversion rate. Francesco lost his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolai broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Budkov was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.

Passaro
R1
Rodesch
R2
Strombachs
Total
Score 6-3 7-66 5-7 6-3 7-60
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 22 34 56
pts 73-63 102-101 175-164
Total points 136 203 339
Winners 38 65 103
%Winners 52% 64% 59%
SERVE
Aces 4 20 24
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 48/67 82/117 130/184
% 1st in 72% 70% 71%
1st pts 38/48 65/82 103/130
% 1st pts 79% 79% 79%
2nd pts 12/19 15/35 27/54
% 2nd pts 63% 43% 50%
Breaks
Won 1 1 2
Converted 1/1 1/1 2/2
Converted % 100% 100% 100%
Conceded 1 8 9
Saved 1/1 7/8 8
Saved % 100% 88% 94%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Budkov
R1
Vylegzhanin
R2
Massard
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 17 33
pts 67-42 59-45 126-87
Total points 109 104 213
Winners 23 28 51
%Winners 34% 47% 40%
SERVE
Aces 9 6 15
Double Faults 0 2 2
1st in 27/42 34/53 61/95
% 1st in 64% 64% 64%
1st pts 23/27 28/34 51/61
% 1st pts 85% 82% 84%
2nd pts 10/15 11/19 21/34
% 2nd pts 67% 58% 62%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/17 3/6 7/23
Converted % 24% 50% 30%
Conceded 1 4 5
Saved 1/1 4/4 5
Saved % 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores in Le

  • Mats Hermans/Mick VeldheerHermans/Mick VeldheerStefanos Sakellaridis/Karan SinghSakellaridis/Karan Singh (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

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