Francesco Passaro and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will play each other in the quarter of the Mouilleron for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolai Budkov Kjaer who should win in 3 sets.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer -> 1.83
Francesco Passaro -> 1.89
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
This will be the 2nd time that Francesco Passaro and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Budkov (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Budkov won 7-6(4) 4-6 6-0 in the 1st round in the Montemar Challenger back in 2024.
Francesco Passaro
33 - 20win/loss
128
89
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-26 | 8-5 | 23-14 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, Francesco reached the quarter after defeating Chris Rodesch 6-3 7-6(6) and Robert Strombachs 5-7 6-3 7-6(0).
In the 2nd round against Strombachs, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 7-60). During the match, Passaro scored 102 points vs Strombachs’s 101. Passaro was very aggressive to blast 65 winners.
Regarding the service games, Passaro buried his opponent with 20 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Francesco Passaro lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Passaro put 70% of his first serves in, winning 79% (65/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Passaro was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Strombachs once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Passaro has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (207-152). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Passaro has a composed6-7 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
The Italian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Sassuolo Challenger.
Passaro has a composed 33-20 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Passaro has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
45 - 23win/loss
132
132
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-27 | 7-2 | 18-12 | 22-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-11 | 5-5 | 19-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 149 (career-high), the Norwegian reached the quarter after beating Nikolay Vylegzhanin 6-1 6-3
and Loann Massard 6-3 6-2.In the 2nd round, Budkov had a good straight sets win against Massard (6-3 6-2). During the match Budkov scored 59 points vs Massard’s 45. Nicolai was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Budkov managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer was very efficient on serve to win 82% (28/34) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nicolai broke Massard 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nicolai hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Glasgow Challenger where he overcame Viktor Durasovic in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Tampere Challenger where he defeated Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the final 7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-2 and the Astana Challenger where he beat Alexandr Binda in the final 6-4 6-3.
Nicolai has an overall 45-23 win-loss record in 2025, 17-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
The Norwegian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Passaro | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 33 |
| Pts | 175-164 | 126-87 |
| Total Points | 339 | 213 |
| Winners | 103 | 51 |
| %Winners | 59% | 40% |
Both Passaro and Budkov played 2 matches. At the moment, Francesco Passaro surrendered 1 set while Nicolai Budkov Kjaer hasn’t conceded a set so far. Passaro has played 1 set more than Budkov (5 vs 4). Therefore, Passaro played 23 games more than Budkov. The Italian scored 103 winners (59% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolai fired 51 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Passaro | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 130/184 | 61/95 |
| %1st in | 71% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 103/130 | 51/61 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 27/54 | 21/34 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 62% |
Passaro blasted 24 aces (12 per match). Budkov fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Passaro won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Budkov won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Passaro | Budkov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 7 |
| Converted | 2/2 | 7/23 |
| % Converted | 100% | 30% |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 |
| Saved | 8 | 5 |
| % Saved | 89% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Francesco broke his opponents twice with a 100% conversion rate. Francesco lost his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolai broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Budkov was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Passaro | ||||
| R1 Rodesch | R2 Strombachs | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-66 | 5-7 6-3 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 34 | 56 | |
| pts | 73-63 | 102-101 | 175-164 | |
| Total points | 136 | 203 | 339 | |
| Winners | 38 | 65 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 64% | 59% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 20 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 48/67 | 82/117 | 130/184 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 70% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 38/48 | 65/82 | 103/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 15/35 | 27/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 43% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 7/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 94% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Budkov | ||||
| R1 Vylegzhanin | R2 Massard | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 33 | |
| pts | 67-42 | 59-45 | 126-87 | |
| Total points | 109 | 104 | 213 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 27/42 | 34/53 | 61/95 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 28/34 | 51/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 82% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 11/19 | 21/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 58% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/17 | 3/6 | 7/23 | |
| Converted % | 24% | 50% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Le
- Mats Hermans/Mick VeldheerHermans/Mick Veldheer – Stefanos Sakellaridis/Karan SinghSakellaridis/Karan Singh (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – Clement ChidekhChidekh (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Patrick KypsonKypson (1-0) – H2H and prediction