Holger Rune and Sebastian Baez will face off in the 2^nd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.23
Sebastian Baez -> 4.2

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Sebastian Baez

This will be the 7^th time that Holger Rune and Sebastian Baez square off. The head to head is 3-3 for Rune and Baez (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Rune won 4-6 6-1 6-2 in the 2^nd round in Barcelona back in April 2025.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez – Barcelona 16-April-2025

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 11, Rune will start his run in Shanghai after he played his last match in Tokyo where he lost 6-3 6-3 to Brooksby in the quarter on the 28^th of September.

Holger has a compiled 31-20 win-loss record in 2025, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Barcelona where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Talking about his overall career, The Dane has an overall 282-150 record. He has a positive 68-51 record on hard.

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2024. See his history.

Sebastian Baez

Ranked no. 42, Sebastian got to the 2^nd round after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 2-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round against Zhang, Sebastian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Baez scored less points (2) than Zhang. In fact, the world no. 11 won 85 points vs Zhang’s. That means that Baez was more focused during the important points. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Baez blasted 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 66% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Zhang 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rio de Janeiro where he overcame Alexandre Muller in the final 6-2 6-3.

The Argentine has an overall 20-22 win-loss record in 2025, 3-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Yi ZhouZhou (6-7(1) 6-2 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Yibing WuWu (7-5 ret.) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (7-6² 6-1) – See score progression
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Terence AtmaneAtmane (4-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6⁵ 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6² 6-4) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Sebastian OfnerOfner (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Adam WaltonWalton (7-6⁶ 6-1) – See score progression
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – August HolmgrenHolmgren (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Zizou BergsBergs – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (2-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Marin CilicCilic – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Valentin VacherotVacherot – Laslo DjereDjere (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• David GoffinGoffin – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-7⁶ 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Yibing WuWu (7-5 ret.) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-6(5) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Terence AtmaneAtmane (4-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (7-6(2) 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marin CilicCilic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (2-19) – H2H and prediction
• Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Quentin HalysHalys (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Zizou BergsBergs – Casper RuudRuud (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jordan ThompsonThompson (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Valentin RoyerRoyer – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction