Amanda Anisimova and Jasmine Paolini will fight against each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Amanda Anisimova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Amanda Anisimova is the pick to win this match.
Amanda Anisimova -> 1.72
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.12

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Prediction and head to head Amanda Anisimova vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 2^nd time that Amanda Anisimova and Jasmine Paolini fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0

for Anisimova (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Anisimova won 6-2 6-1 in the 1^st round in Parma back in 2021.

Highlights Amanda Anisimova vs Jasmine Paolini – Parma 16-May-2021

Amanda Anisimova

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Amanda reached the quarter after defeating Katie Boulter 6-1 6-3, Shuai Zhang 7-6(11) 6-0 and Karolina Muchova 1-6 6-2 6-4.

In the 4^th round against Muchova, Anisimova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Anisimova scored 78 points vs Muchova’s 77. Anisimova was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Anisimova scored just 1 ace in the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Amanda Anisimova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Anisimova put 71% of her first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. Amanda broke Muchova 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Anisimova has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Anisimova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (203-114). 22-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Anisimova has a compiled 120-69 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Doha where she overcame Jelena Ostapenko in the final 6-4 6-3.

Amanda has a compiled 42-16 win-loss record in 2025, 22-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 8, Jasmine reached the quarter after beating Anastasija Sevastova 6-1 6-3, Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-0 and Marie Bouzkova 6-2 7-5.

In the 4^th round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Bouzkova (6-2 7-5). During the match Paolini scored 74 points vs Bouzkova’s 63. Jasmine was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Paolini couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 73% of her first serves in, winning 61% (31/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Bouzkova 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paolini hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rome where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Jasmine has a compiled 41-15 win-loss record in 2025, 22-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023 and 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Anisimova	Paolini
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	60	51
Pts	213-184	200-147
Total Points	397	347
Winners	87	92
%Winners	41%	46%

Both Anisimova and Paolini played 3 matches. At the moment, Amanda Anisimova dropped 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t dropped a set so far. Anisimova has played 1 set more than Paolini (7 vs 6). Therefore, Anisimova played 9 games more than Paolini. Amanda scored 87 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Paolini scored 92 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Anisimova	Paolini
Aces	13	5
Avg per match	4.3	1.7
1st in	121/196	141/190
%1st in	62%	74%
1st pts	87/121	92/141
%1st pts	72%	65%
2nd pts	38/75	25/49
%2nd pts	51%	51%

Anisimova blasted 13 aces (4.3 per match). Paolini bagged 5 aces (1.7 per match). Anisimova won 72% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Anisimova	Paolini
Won	11	15
Converted	11/21	15/28
% Converted	52%	54%
Conceded	14	23
Saved	10	19
% Saved	71%	83%
Times Broken	4	4

Anisimova broke her opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Anisimova surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. The Italian broke her opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Paolini conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.

Anisimova
	R2 Boulter	R3 Zhang	R4 Muchova	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	7-611 6-0	1-6 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	16	19	25	60
pts	63-51	72-56	78-77	213-184
Total points	114	128	155	397
Winners	22	27	38	87
%Winners	35%	38%	49%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	1	13
Double Faults	2	4	2	8
1st in	34/60	33/60	54/76	121/196
% 1st in	57%	55%	71%	62%
1st pts	22/34	27/33	38/54	87/121
% 1st pts	65%	82%	70%	72%
2nd pts	16/26	14/27	8/22	38/75
% 2nd pts	62%	52%	36%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	11
Converted	4/9	4/8	3/4	11/21
Converted %	44%	50%	75%	52%
Conceded	4	2	8	14
Saved	4/4	1/2	5/8	10
Saved %	100%	50%	63%	71%
Times Broken	0	1	3	4

Paolini
	R2 Sevastova	R3 Kenin	R4 Bouzkova	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	6-3 6-0	6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	16	15	20	51
pts	65-44	61-40	74-63	200-147
Total points	109	101	137	347
Winners	28	33	31	92
%Winners	43%	54%	42%	46%
SERVE
Aces	3	2	0	5
Double Faults	0	3	1	4
1st in	43/61	47/59	51/70	141/190
% 1st in	70%	80%	73%	74%
1st pts	28/43	33/47	31/51	92/141
% 1st pts	65%	70%	61%	65%
2nd pts	13/18	4/12	8/19	25/49
% 2nd pts	72%	33%	42%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	5	6	15
Converted	4/8	5/8	6/12	15/28
Converted %	50%	63%	50%	54%
Conceded	7	7	9	23
Saved	7/7	6/7	6/9	19
Saved %	100%	86%	67%	84%
Times Broken	0	1	3	4

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Marcelo ArevaloArevalo (7-6⁴ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Danilo PetrovicPetrovic – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sumit NagalNagal – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (6-4 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Hugo DellienDellien – Tommy RobredoRobredo (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ariel Behar/Gonzalo EscobarBehar/Gonzalo Escobar – Fabricio Neis/Fernando RomboliNeis/Fernando Romboli (7-6⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Emma NavarroNavarro – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Eva LysLys – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction