Pablo Carreno-Busta and Eliakim Coulibaly will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Villena Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on PISTA CARLOS ALCARAZ. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.32
Eliakim Coulibaly -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Eliakim Coulibaly
There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Eliakim Coulibaly since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
32 - 24win/loss
89
10
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-26 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 123, Carreno-Busta got to the 2nd round after defeating Dali Blanch 6-2 4-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard defeated Blanch (6-2 4-6 6-3). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 88 points vs Blanch’s 77. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carreno-Busta struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the 2nd serve. Carreno-Busta broke Blanch 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (283-192). 17-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carreno-Busta has a compiled 132-76 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.
Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 32-24 win-loss record in 2025, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Villena Challenger
Carreno-Busta has never competed in this tournament before.
Eliakim Coulibaly
24 - 17win/loss
336
263
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-23 | 26-16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 62-23 | 40-10 | 10-5 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 36-17 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-16 | 32-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-11 | 28-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 284, the Ivorian reached the 2nd round after defeating Christoph Negritu 3-6 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round against Negritu, Coulibaly recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Coulibaly scored 95 points vs Negritu’s 92. Coulibaly was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Coulibaly recorded 11 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Eliakim Coulibaly lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Coulibaly put 60% of his first serves in, winning 80% (45/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 27% (10/37) on the 2nd serve. Eliakim broke Negritu 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Abidjan 2 Challenger where he overcame Aziz Dougaz in the final 6-7(3) 6-4 6-4.
Coulibaly has a compiled 24-17 win-loss record in 2025, 19-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Coulibaly |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 31 |
| Pts | 88-77 | 95-92 |
| Total Points | 165 | 187 |
| Winners | 38 | 45 |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Coulibaly played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Pablo Carreno-Busta dropped 1 set, while Eliakim Coulibaly surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Coulibaly have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Carreno-Busta played 4 games less than Coulibaly. Carreno-Busta scored 38 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Coulibaly struck 45 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Coulibaly |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 11 |
| 1st in | 54/84 | 56/93 |
| %1st in | 64% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 38/54 | 45/56 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 10/37 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 27% |
Carreno-Busta scored 3 aces . Coulibaly blasted 11 aces . Carreno-Busta won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Coulibaly won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 27% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Coulibaly |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 71% | 60% |
| Conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Pablo broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Coulibaly broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Coulibaly conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Blanch | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 88-77 | 88-77 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 54/84 | 54/84 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 38/54 | 38/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 16/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Coulibaly | |||
| R1 Negritu | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 95-92 | 95-92 | |
| Total points | 187 | 187 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 56/93 | 56/93 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 45/56 | 45/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/37 | 10/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 27% | 27% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 8/13 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 62% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Villena Challenger
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Moez EcharguiEchargui (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tom GentzschGentzsch – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- George LoffhagenLoffhagen – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (4-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Oliver CrawfordCrawford – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Neil OberleitnerOberleitner – (0-0) – H2H and prediction