Daniel Merida Aguilar and Maks Kasnikowski will face off in the 2nd round of the Villena Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on PISTA CARLOS ALCARAZ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniel Merida Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.42
Maks Kasnikowski -> 2.7

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Maks Kasnikowski

There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Maks Kasnikowski since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Daniel Merida Aguilar

44 - 19win/loss

Hard
13-4
I Hard
0-2
Clay
31-13
Rank
170
High
163
LWLLLLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-24 15-5 32-15 0-4 0-0 0-0
2024 57-33 17-9 40-23 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 37-31 16-13 20-17 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 29-26 8-9 21-16 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 12-14 1-4 11-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 173, Daniel reached the 2nd round after defeating Ryan Peniston 6-4 6-2.

In the 1st round, Merida Aguilar had a good straight sets win against Peniston (6-4 6-2). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 76 points vs Peniston’s 61. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Merida Aguilar scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Merida Aguilar put 75% of his first serves in, winning 60% (32/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Peniston 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Merida Aguilar has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (180-126). 13-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Merida Aguilar has a composed55-39 record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he overcame Fajing Sun in the final 6-3 6-4.

Merida Aguilar has a compiled 44-19 win-loss record in 2025, 13-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villena Challenger

Villena Challenger
Merida Aguilar's Record

Maks Kasnikowski

Maks Kasnikowski

18 - 11win/loss

Hard
8-3
I Hard
1-2
Clay
9-6
Rank
411
High
168
LWWWWWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-15 9-5 9-6 11-4 0-0 0-0
2024 40-28 6-8 22-13 12-7 0-0 0-0
2023 40-25 13-6 22-14 5-5 0-0 0-0
2022 44-19 16-7 20-10 8-2 0-0 0-0
2021 11-11 7-5 4-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 547, Kasnikowski reached the 2nd round after beating Enrique Carrascosa Diaz 3-6 6-1 6-2, Luca Potenza 6-7(1) 6-4 6-3 and Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-2 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Ramos-Vinolas (6-2 6-4). During the match Kasnikowski scored 57 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 41. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

About the serving games, Kasnikowski recorded 5 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Maks Kasnikowski lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Kasnikowski put 59% of his first serves in, winning 85% (22/26) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Maks broke Ramos-Vinolas 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Kasnikowski’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Koszalin.

The Pole has a compiled 18-11 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Villena Challenger

The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.

Villena Challenger
Kasnikowski's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Merida Aguilar
M.Kasnikowski
1h:38
1h:38
Time on court​
!
5h:40
5h:40
1h:38
1h:38
Last match​
1h:11
1h:11
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
18
18
Games Played​
74
74
2
2
Set played​​
8
8
76
76
Total points​
239
239
76
76
Avg point​
79.7
79.7
32
32
Winners
100
100
32
32
Avg Winners​
33.3
33.3
42%
42%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
24
24
1
1
Avg Aces
8
8
2
2
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1
1
32/53
32/53
1st won total​
100/125
100/125
60%
60%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
7/18
7/18
2nd won total​
42/86
42/86
!
39%
39%
2nd won %
49%
49%
-- Break Points --
6/8
6/8
BP won
14/28
14/28
6/8
6/8
Avg BP won
4.7/9.3
4.7/9.3
!
75%
75%
Won
50%
50%
9
9
Conceded
10
10
9
9
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
3
3
Broken
6
6
3
3
Avg Broken
2
2
6
6
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Merida Aguilar Kasnikowski
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 8
Tot Games 18 74
Pts 76-61 239-206
Total Points 137 445
Winners 32 100
%Winners 42% 42%

Merida Aguilar played 1 match while Kasnikowski competed in 3 matches. Kasnikowski started his run from the qualifications while Merida Aguilar had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Maks Kasnikowski dropped 2 sets while Daniel Merida Aguilar hasn’t dropped a set so far. Merida Aguilar has played 6 set(s) less than Kasnikowski (2 vs 8). Therefore, Merida Aguilar played 56 games less than Kasnikowski. Daniel scored 32 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Pole fired 100 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Merida Aguilar Kasnikowski
Aces 1 24
Avg per match 1 8
1st in 53/71 125/211
%1st in 75% 59%
1st pts 32/53 100/125
%1st pts 60% 80%
2nd pts 7/18 42/86
%2nd pts 39% 49%

Merida Aguilar scored 1 ace . Kasnikowski also recorded 24 aces (8 per match). Merida Aguilar won 60% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Kasnikowski won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Merida Aguilar Kasnikowski
Won 6 14
Converted 6/8 14/28
% Converted 75% 50%
Conceded 9 10
Saved 6 4
% Saved 67% 40%
Times Broken 3 6

The Spaniard broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Pole broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Maks conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.

Merida Aguilar
R1
Peniston		 Total
Score 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 76-61 76-61
Total points 137 137
Winners 32 32
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 53/71 53/71
% 1st in 75% 75%
1st pts 32/53 32/53
% 1st pts 60% 60%
2nd pts 7/18 7/18
% 2nd pts 39% 39%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/8 6/8
Converted % 75% 75%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 6/9 6
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 3 3
Kasnikowski
Q1
Carrascosa		 Q3
Potenza		 R1
Ramos-Vinolas		 Total
Score 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-71 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 24 32 18 74
pts 84-68 98-97 57-41 239-206
Total points 152 195 98 445
Winners 33 45 22 100
%Winners 39% 46% 39% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 13 5 24
Double Faults 1 2 0 3
1st in 46/72 53/95 26/44 125/211
% 1st in 64% 56% 59% 59%
1st pts 33/46 45/53 22/26 100/125
% 1st pts 72% 85% 85% 80%
2nd pts 12/26 21/42 9/18 42/86
% 2nd pts 46% 50% 50% 49%
Breaks
Won 6 3 5 14
Converted 6/10 3/10 5/8 14/28
Converted % 60% 30% 63% 50%
Conceded 6 2 2 10
Saved 3/6 1/2 0/2 4
Saved % 50% 50% 0% 100%
Times Broken 3 1 2 6

Tennis Scores in Villena Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Merida Aguilar
More Stats
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Kasnikowski

Click for FULL STATS