Mirra Andreeva and Sonay Kartal will square off in the 4^th round of the China Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 5:00 pm on LOTUS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mirra Andreeva who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mirra Andreeva is the pick to win this match.
Mirra Andreeva -> 1.22
Sonay Kartal -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Mirra Andreeva vs. Sonay Kartal

There is no head to head record between Mirra Andreeva and Sonay Kartal since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Mirra Andreeva

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the Russian got to the 4^th round after defeating Lin Zhu 6-2 6-2 and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-4 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, Andreeva had a good straight sets win against Bouzas Maneiro (6-4 6-1). During the match, Andreeva scored 78 points vs Bouzas Maneiro’s 61. Andreeva was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Andreeva scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Mirra Andreeva lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Andreeva put 54% of her first serves in, winning 69% (27/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Bouzas Maneiro 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mirra hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 58% of the points she played.

Andreeva has a fantastic record in the last 4 years having won 76% of her matches (149-47). 24-6 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Andreeva has an aggregate70-24 win-loss record in the last 4 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she defeated Clara Tauson in the final 7-6(1) 6-1 and in Indian Wells where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 2-6 6-4 6-3.

Andreeva has a composed 40-13 win-loss record in 2025, 24-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Sonay Kartal

Ranked no. 81, Sonay got to the 4^th round after beating Alycia Parks 6-3 6-2, Daria Kasatkina 6-3 6-0 and Maya Joint 6-3 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Sonay had a good straight sets win against Joint (6-3 6-2). During the match Kartal scored 58 points vs Joint’s 43. Sonay was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Kartal managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sonay Kartal lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kartal put 71% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the 2nd serve. Kartal broke Joint 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kartal hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.

Sonay has a composed 23-19 win-loss record in 2025, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Kartal has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Andreeva	Kartal
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	6
Tot Games	33	49
Pts	140-102	177-115
Total Points	242	292
Winners	50	69
%Winners	36%	39%

Andreeva played 2 matches while Kartal competed in 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Andreeva has played 2 set(s) less than Kartal (4 vs 6). Therefore, Andreeva played 16 games less than Kartal. Andreeva scored 50 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Kartal blasted 69 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Andreeva	Kartal
Aces	2	6
Avg per match	1	2
1st in	65/117	95/131
%1st in	56%	73%
1st pts	50/65	69/95
%1st pts	77%	73%
2nd pts	25/52	24/36
%2nd pts	48%	67%

Andreeva made 2 aces (1 per match). Kartal blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Andreeva won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Kartal won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Andreeva	Kartal
Won	9	14
Converted	9/19	14/27
% Converted	47%	52%
Conceded	4	6
Saved	2	2
% Saved	50%	33%
Times Broken	2	4

The Russian broke her opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Kartal broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Brit conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.

Andreeva
	R2 Zhu	R3 Bouzas	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	16	17	33
pts	62-41	78-61	140-102
Total points	103	139	242
Winners	23	27	50
%Winners	37%	35%	36%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	26/45	39/72	65/117
% 1st in	58%	54%	56%
1st pts	23/26	27/39	50/65
% 1st pts	88%	69%	77%
2nd pts	8/19	17/33	25/52
% 2nd pts	42%	52%	48%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/9	4/10	9/19
Converted %	56%	40%	47%
Conceded	1	3	4
Saved	0/1	2/3	2
Saved %	0%	67%	34%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Kartal
	R1 Parks	R2 Kasatkina	R3 Joint	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-3 6-0	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	15	17	49
pts	60-40	59-32	58-43	177-115
Total points	100	91	101	292
Winners	28	19	22	69
%Winners	47%	32%	38%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	3	6
Double Faults	1	1	1	3
1st in	35/46	28/40	32/45	95/131
% 1st in	76%	70%	71%	73%
1st pts	28/35	19/28	22/32	69/95
% 1st pts	80%	68%	69%	73%
2nd pts	8/11	9/12	7/13	24/36
% 2nd pts	73%	75%	54%	67%
Breaks
Won	3	6	5	14
Converted	3/8	6/11	5/8	14/27
Converted %	38%	55%	63%	52%
Conceded	0	3	3	6
Saved	0/0	1/3	1/3	2
Saved %	–	33%	33%	33%
Times Broken	0	2	2	4

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Cori GauffGauff – Belinda BencicBencic (4-6 7-6⁴ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Eva LysLys – Mccartney KesslerKessler (4-6 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Eva LysLys – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction