Iga Swiatek and Emma Navarro will square off in the 4^th round of the China Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.111
Emma Navarro -> 6.55

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Emma Navarro

This will be the 3^rd time that Iga Swiatek and Emma Navarro play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-1 6-2 in the quarter in at the Australian Open back in January 2025.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro – Australian Open 22-January-2025

Iga Swiatek

Ranked no. 2, the Pole got to the 4^th round after defeating Yue Yuan 6-0 6-3 and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-0 ret..

In the 3^rd round against Camila Osorio Serrano, the Pole had a free pass after Camila Osorio Serrano retired on a 6-0 . scoreline.

Swiatek has an impressive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (408-89). 38-8 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has a composed 200-50 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Seoul where she defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 1-6 7-6(3) 7-5.

Swiatek has a compiled 59-13 win-loss record in 2025, 38-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Emma Navarro

Ranked no. 17, the American reached the 4^th round after beating Elena Gabriela Ruse 6-3 7-6(0) and Lois Boisson 6-2 1-0 ret..

In the 3^rd round against Boisson, Emma had a free pass after Boisson retired on a 6-2 1-0 . scoreline.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Merida where she defeated Emiliana Arango in the final 6-0 6-0.

Emma has an aggregate 31-23 win-loss record in 2025, 16-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Navarro
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	21	31
Pts	99-55	122-94
Total Points	154	216
Winners	34	45
%Winners	34%	37%

Both Swiatek and Navarro played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Navarro (4 vs 5). Therefore, Swiatek played 10 games less than Navarro. Swiatek scored 34 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Navarro blasted 45 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Navarro
Aces	3	4
Avg per match	1.5	2
1st in	47/69	68/112
%1st in	68%	61%
1st pts	34/47	45/68
%1st pts	72%	66%
2nd pts	14/22	22/44
%2nd pts	64%	50%

Swiatek scored 3 aces (1.5 per match). Navarro managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Swiatek won 72% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Navarro won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Navarro
Won	8	8
Converted	8/17	8/14
% Converted	47%	57%
Conceded	5	14
Saved	4	10
% Saved	80%	71%
Times Broken	1	4

The Pole broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Emma conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R2 Yuan	R3 Camila Osorio Serrano	Total
Score	6-0 6-3	6-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	1	3
Tot Games	15	6	21
pts	66-38	33-17	99-55
Total points	104	50	154
Winners	25	9	34
%Winners	38%	27%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	3
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	33/43	14/26	47/69
% 1st in	77%	54%	68%
1st pts	25/33	9/14	34/47
% 1st pts	76%	64%	72%
2nd pts	7/10	7/12	14/22
% 2nd pts	70%	58%	64%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/11	3/6	8/17
Converted %	45%	50%	47%
Conceded	1	4	5
Saved	0/1	4/4	4
Saved %	0%	100%	50%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Navarro
	R2 Gabriela Ruse	R3 Boisson	Total
Score	6-3 7-60	6-2 1-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	9	31
pts	87-69	35-25	122-94
Total points	156	60	216
Winners	32	13	45
%Winners	37%	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	4
Double Faults	4	2	6
1st in	50/81	18/31	68/112
% 1st in	62%	58%	61%
1st pts	32/50	13/18	45/68
% 1st pts	64%	72%	66%
2nd pts	15/31	7/13	22/44
% 2nd pts	48%	54%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/10	3/4	8/14
Converted %	50%	75%	57%
Conceded	13	1	14
Saved	9/13	1/1	10
Saved %	69%	100%	85%
Times Broken	4	0	4

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Cori GauffGauff – Belinda BencicBencic (4-6 7-6⁴ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Eva LysLys – Mccartney KesslerKessler (4-6 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Eva LysLys – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction