Jannik Sinner and Learner Tien will play each other in the final of the China Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.034
Learner Tien -> 11.75

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Learner Tien

There is no head to head record

between Jannik Sinner and Learner Tien since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 2, the Italian reached the final after defeating Marin Cilic 6-2 6-2, Terence Atmane 6-4 5-7 6-0, Fabian Marozsan 6-1 7-5 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 4-6 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Italian defeated De Minaur (6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 97 points vs De Minaur’s 76. Sinner was very aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner struck 7 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve once and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 64% of his first serves in, winning 82% (50/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (16/35) on the 2nd serve. Jannik broke De Minaur 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (387-126). 22-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has an aggregate160-48 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3 and at the Wimbledon where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

The Italian has an aggregate 41-5 win-loss record in 2025, 22-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Learner Tien

Ranked no. 52, Learner reached the final after defeating Francisco Cerundolo 4-6 6-3 6-4, Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2, Lorenzo Musetti 4-6 6-3 3-0 ret. and Daniil Medvedev 5-7 7-5 4-0 ret..

In the semifinal against Medvedev, Tien had a free pass after Medvedev retired on a 5-7 7-5 4-0 . scoreline.

The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Beijing.

Tien has an overall 30-22 win-loss record in 2025, 23-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Beijing

Tien has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Tien
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	13
Tot Games	90	96
Pts	317-237	323-287
Total Points	554	610
Winners	138	133
%Winners	44%	41%

Both Sinner and Tien played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner dropped 2 sets, while Learner Tien lost 3 sets. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than Tien (10 vs 13). Therefore, Sinner played 6 games less than Tien. Jannik scored 138 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 133 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Tien
Aces	20	6
Avg per match	5	1.5
1st in	185/288	218/333
%1st in	64%	65%
1st pts	138/185	133/218
%1st pts	75%	61%
2nd pts	53/103	65/115
%2nd pts	51%	57%

Sinner made 20 aces (5 per match). Tien struck 6 aces (1.5 per match). Sinner won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 61% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Tien
Won	18	20
Converted	18/39	20/41
% Converted	46%	49%
Conceded	24	28
Saved	19	16
% Saved	79%	57%
Times Broken	5	12

Sinner broke his opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Learner broke his opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Learner conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Cilic	R2 Atmane	1/4 Marozsan	1/2 De Minaur	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	6-4 5-7 6-0	6-1 7-5	6-3 4-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	16	28	19	27	90
pts	62-38	95-80	63-43	97-76	317-237
Total points	100	175	106	173	554
Winners	27	40	21	50	138
%Winners	44%	42%	33%	52%	44%
SERVE
Aces	3	3	7	7	20
Double Faults	0	0	1	0	1
1st in	36/47	58/92	30/53	61/96	185/288
% 1st in	77%	63%	57%	64%	64%
1st pts	27/36	40/58	21/30	50/61	138/185
% 1st pts	75%	69%	70%	82%	75%
2nd pts	7/11	16/34	14/23	16/35	53/103
% 2nd pts	64%	47%	61%	46%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	6	5	3	18
Converted	4/10	6/11	5/11	3/7	18/39
Converted %	40%	55%	45%	43%	46%
Conceded	1	9	2	12	24
Saved	1/1	6/9	1/2	11/12	19
Saved %	100%	67%	50%	92%	77%
Times Broken	0	3	1	1	5

Tien
	R1 Cerundolo	R2 Cobolli	1/4 Musetti	1/2 Medvedev	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-4	6-3 6-2	4-6 6-3 3-0 ret.	5-7 7-5 4-0 ret.
Tot Set	3	2	3	3	11
Tot Games	29	17	22	28	96
pts	94-88	63-45	72-65	94-89	323-287
Total points	182	108	137	183	610
Winners	36	24	37	36	133
%Winners	38%	38%	51%	38%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	0	4	6
Double Faults	6	1	0	3	10
1st in	56/93	36/59	56/78	70/103	218/333
% 1st in	60%	61%	72%	68%	65%
1st pts	36/56	24/36	37/56	36/70	133/218
% 1st pts	64%	67%	66%	51%	61%
2nd pts	19/37	12/23	14/22	20/33	65/115
% 2nd pts	51%	52%	64%	61%	57%
Breaks
Won	5	5	3	7	20
Converted	5/8	5/9	3/8	7/16	20/41
Converted %	63%	56%	38%	44%	49%
Conceded	7	5	6	10	28
Saved	3/7	3/5	5/6	5/10	16
Saved %	43%	60%	83%	50%	59%
Times Broken	4	2	1	5	12

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – (0-0) – H2H and prediction