Carlos Alcaraz is 1 wins away to conquer the title in Tokyo. Alcaraz has defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-2, Zizou Bergs 6-4 6-3, Brandon Nakashima 6-2 6-4 and Casper Ruud 3-6 6-3 6-4 to reach the final where he will face Taylor Fritz.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw together withhisprojected opposition in Japan Open Tennis Championships. The Spaniard has a good record (3-1) against the plausible opponents.

R1 – Sebastian Baez (41) – 6-4 6-2
R2 – Zizou Bergs (45) – 6-4 6-3
1/4 – Brandon Nakashima (33) – 6-2 6-4
1/2 – Casper Ruud (12) – 3-6 6-3 6-4
Fin – Taylor Fritz (5) – H2H 3-1
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Draw

Final – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 49-17 record in 2025, 30-10 on hard. Talking about the last 12 years, the American has a 266-131 record on hard (Click here

to see full career record). Taylor will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 6 matches winning streak.

His most significant achievement of this current season was winning the competition in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4), in Stuttgart where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0), and in Eastbourne where he overcame Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Taylor capitulated to Arthur Fils in the 1st round 6-4 3-6 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz

This match would represent the 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.