Alex De Minaur is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Beijing. De Minaur has defeated Bu Yunchaokete 6-4 6-0, Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 3-6 7-62 and Jakub Mensik 4-1 ret. to reach the semifinal where he will face Jannik Sinner.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Alex De Minaur’s projected draw withhisprojected opponents in China Open. The Australian has a negative record (4-17) with the likely opposition.

R1 – Bu Yunchaokete (89) – 6-4 6-0
R2 – Arthur Rinderknech (54) – 6-3 3-6 7-62
1/4 – Jakub Mensik (19) – 4-1 ret.
1/2 – Jannik Sinner (2) – H2H 0-10
Fin – Daniil Medvedev (18) – H2H 4-7
or Learner Tien (52) – H2H 0-0
Latest Updated
Draw

1/2 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 10-0 for Jannik Sinner

58 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWW
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 40-5 win-loss record in 2025, 21-2 on hard. In the last 8 years, the Italian has a 159-48 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Jannik won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this season was conquering the competition at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3, and at the Wimbledon where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4.

Last year in China Open Jannik capitulated to Carlos Alcaraz in the final 6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3).

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Jannik Sinner

This match would represent the 11th time that Alex De Minaur and Jannik Sinner clash against each other. The head to head is 10-0

for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 7-4 for Daniil Medvedev

41 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWW
ALL STATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 30-19 win-loss record in 2025, 16-10 on hard. Talking about the last 13 years, Medvedev has a 263-89 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Medvedev won 5 of his last 10 matches.

The Russian’s most significant result of the year was getting to the final Halle.

Last year in China Open Daniil surrendered to Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinal 7-5 6-3.

H2H Alex De Minaur vs. Daniil Medvedev

This would be the 12th time that Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev square off. The head to head is 7-4 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Alex De Minaur may take on Learner Tien. Their head to head is 0-0.