Mackenzie Mcdonald and Rei Sakamoto will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 5:00 pm on GRANDSTAND 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.37
Rei Sakamoto -> 2.9

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Prediction and head to head Mackenzie Mcdonald vs. Rei Sakamoto

There is no head to head record between Mackenzie Mcdonald and Rei Sakamoto since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Ranked no. 96, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Omar Jasika 6-0 6-4.

In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Jasika (6-0 6-4). During the match, Mcdonald scored 65 points vs Jasika’s 44. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mcdonald made 5 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald was very efficient on serve to win 75% (27/36) of his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mcdonald broke Jasika 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Mcdonald has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (300-239). 20-13 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mcdonald has an aggregate 186-128 record in the last years on hard.

Mackenzie’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the San Diego Challenger.

Mackenzie has a compiled 32-24 win-loss record in 2025, 20-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Rei Sakamoto

Ranked no. 190, Rei reached the qualifications after beating Brandon Holt 6-1 7-5.

In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Holt (6-1 7-5). During the match Sakamoto scored 63 points vs Holt’s 41. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Sakamoto made 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Rei Sakamoto was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 86% (31/36) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Holt 3 times.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Cary Challenger where he overcame Liam Draxl in the final 6-1 6-4.

The Japanese has an aggregate 26-21 win-loss record in 2025, 21-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mcdonald	Sakamoto
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	19
Pts	65-44	63-41
Total Points	109	104
Winners	27	31
%Winners	42%	49%

Both Mcdonald and Sakamoto played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mcdonald and Sakamoto have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mcdonald played 3 games less than Sakamoto. Mcdonald scored 27 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Sakamoto blasted 31 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mcdonald	Sakamoto
Aces	5	12
Avg per match	5	12
1st in	36/46	36/50
%1st in	78%	72%
1st pts	27/36	31/36
%1st pts	75%	86%
2nd pts	7/10	9/14
%2nd pts	70%	64%

Mcdonald blasted 5 aces . Sakamoto struck 12 aces . Mcdonald won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Sakamoto won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mcdonald	Sakamoto
Won	4	3
Converted	4/6	3/3
% Converted	67%	100%
Conceded	2	0
Saved	2	0
% Saved	100%	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Mcdonald broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The American extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Rei broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Japanese was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Mcdonald
	Q1 Jasika	Total
Score	6-0 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	16	16
pts	65-44	65-44
Total points	109	109
Winners	27	27
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	36/46	36/46
% 1st in	78%	78%
1st pts	27/36	27/36
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	7/10	7/10
% 2nd pts	70%	70%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/6
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Sakamoto
	Q1 Holt	Total
Score	6-1 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	63-41	63-41
Total points	104	104
Winners	31	31
%Winners	49%	49%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	36/50	36/50
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	31/36	31/36
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	9/14	9/14
% 2nd pts	64%	64%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/3	3/3
Converted %	100%	100%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

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