Aleksandar Vukic and Yoshihito Nishioka will play each other in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on SHOW COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Vukic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Vukic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Vukic -> 1.7
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 2.06

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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Vukic vs. Yoshihito Nishioka

This will be the 6th time that Aleksandar Vukic and Yoshihito Nishioka clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Nishioka won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Delray beach back in February 2025.

Aleksandar Vukic

Aleksandar Vukic

25 - 32win/loss

Hard
15-18
I Hard
1-1
Clay
4-8
Grass
5-5
Rank
82
High
48
LWLWWLLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-38 15-20 4-8 5-5 5-5 0-0
2024 34-36 13-18 5-9 6-2 10-7 0-0
2023 48-33 34-20 9-4 1-3 4-6 0-0
2022 30-25 14-15 4-5 12-5 0-0 0-0
2021 34-26 8-5 10-11 11-7 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 95, Vukic reached the qualifications after defeating Marc-Andrea Huesler 1-6 7-5 7-6(5).

In the qualifications against Huesler, Vukic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 7-65

).During the match, Vukic scored less points (7) than Huesler. In fact, the world no. 95 won 96 points vs Huesler’s. That means that Vukic was more focused during the important points. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Vukic made 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Aleksandar Vukic lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Vukic put 63% of his first serves in, winning 67% (37/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (20/33) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Huesler twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Vukic has positive record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (279-234). 15-18 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Vukic has a composed 148-124 match record in the last years on hard.

Vukic’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Estoril Challenger.

Vukic has a compiled 25-32 win-loss record in 2025, 15-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Shanghai
Vukic's Record

Yoshihito Nishioka

Yoshihito Nishioka

11 - 20win/loss

Hard
7-12
I Hard
4-2
Clay
0-2
Grass
0-4
Rank
111
High
24
WWWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 16-14 0-2 10-2 0-4 0-0
2024 29-24 17-15 6-7 1-0 5-2 0-0
2023 23-22 14-15 5-5 4-1 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 25-13 2-5 17-6 0-1 0-0
2021 19-26 5-11 8-7 5-5 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 157, will start his run in Shanghai after he played his last match in Shanghai where he beat 6-3 6-2 to Noguchi in the qualifications on the 29th of September.

The Japanese has an overall 10-20 win-loss record in 2025, 6-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, Yoshihito has an overall 433-292 record. He has a positive 244-161 record on hard.

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.

Shanghai
Nishioka's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Vukic
Y.Nishioka
!
2h:18
2h:18
Time on court​
1h:12
1h:12
!
2h:18
2h:18
Last match​
1h:12
1h:12
1
1
Match played
1
1
32
32
Games Played​
17
17
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
96
96
Total points​
61
61
96
96
Avg point​
61
61
37
37
Winners
28
28
37
37
Avg Winners​
28
28
39%
39%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
6
6
9
9
Avg Aces
6
6
3
3
Double Faults
0
0
3
3
Avg Double Faults
0
0
37/55
37/55
1st won total​
28/36
28/36
67%
67%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
20/33
20/33
2nd won total​
13/24
13/24
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
2/7
2/7
BP won
3/4
3/4
2/7
2/7
Avg BP won
3/4
3/4
!
29%
29%
Won
!
75%
75%
3
3
Conceded
3
3
3
3
Avg Conceded
3
3
3
3
Broken
0
0
3
3
Avg Broken
!
0
0
0
0
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Vukic Nishioka
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 32 17
Pts 96-103 61-47
Total Points 199 108
Winners 37 28
%Winners 39% 46%

Both Vukic and Nishioka played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Aleksandar Vukic dropped 1 set while Yoshihito Nishioka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Vukic has played 1 set more than Nishioka (3 vs 2). Therefore, Vukic played 15 games more than Nishioka. Aleksandar scored 37 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Nishioka made 28 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Vukic Nishioka
Aces 9 6
Avg per match 9 6
1st in 55/88 36/60
%1st in 63% 60%
1st pts 37/55 28/36
%1st pts 67% 78%
2nd pts 20/33 13/24
%2nd pts 61% 54%

Vukic managed to score 9 aces . Nishioka struck 6 aces . Vukic won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Vukic Nishioka
Won 2 3
Converted 2/7 3/4
% Converted 29% 75%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 0 3
% Saved 0% 100%
Times Broken 3 0

The Australian broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Yoshihito broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Yoshihito was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Vukic
Q1
Huesler
Total
Score 1-6 7-5 7-65
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 96-103 96-103
Total points 199 199
Winners 37 37
%Winners 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 55/88 55/88
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 37/55 37/55
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 20/33 20/33
% 2nd pts 61% 61%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/7 2/7
Converted % 29% 29%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 0/3 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 3 3
Nishioka
Total
Score
Tot Set 0
Tot Games 0
pts 0-0
Total points 0
Winners 0
%Winners 0%
SERVE
Aces 0
Double Faults 0
1st in 0/0
% 1st in 0%
1st pts 0/0
% 1st pts 0%
2nd pts 0/0
% 2nd pts 0%
Breaks
Won 0
Converted 0/0
Converted % 0%
Conceded 0
Saved 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0

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