Tristan Schoolkate and Beibit Zhukayev will face off in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:30 pm on SHOW COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Schoolkate who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tristan Schoolkate is the pick to win this match.
Tristan Schoolkate -> 1.58
Beibit Zhukayev -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Tristan Schoolkate vs. Beibit Zhukayev

This will be the 3^rd time that Tristan Schoolkate and Beibit Zhukayev fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Schoolkate and Zhukayev (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Zhukayev won 6-4 7-6(7) in the 1^st round in the Cancun Challenger back in August 2025.

Tristan Schoolkate

Ranked no. 100, the Australian got to the qualifications after beating James McCabe 3-6 7-6(1) 6-2.

In the qualifications against McCabe, Tristan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6¹ 6-2). During the match, Schoolkate scored 94 points vs McCabe’s 77. Schoolkate was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Schoolkate struck 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Tristan Schoolkate lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Schoolkate put 63% of his first serves in, winning 86% (43/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke McCabe 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Schoolkate has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (211-150). 32-23 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Schoolkate has an overall142-102 record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Brisbane 1 Challenger where he defeated Marek Gengel in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and the Ilkley Challenger where he defeated Jack Pinnington Jones in the final 6-7(8) 6-4 6-3.

Tristan has a compiled 41-29 win-loss record in 2025, 32-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Schoolkate has never competed in this tournament before.

Beibit Zhukayev

Ranked no. 210, the Kazakhstani reached the qualifications after defeating Colton Smith 7-6(3) 7-6(5).

In the qualifications, Zhukayev had a good straight sets win against Smith (7-6³ 7-6⁵). During the match Zhukayev scored 82 points vs Smith’s 75. Zhukayev was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about serving, Zhukayev made 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Beibit Zhukayev lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Zhukayev put 64% of his first serves in, winning 88% (46/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (11/29) on the 2nd serve. Zhukayev broke Smith twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Beibit’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Morelia Challenger.

The Kazakhstani has a compiled 24-26 win-loss record in 2025, 11-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Schoolkate	Zhukayev
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	30	26
Pts	94-77	82-75
Total Points	171	157
Winners	43	46
%Winners	46%	56%

Both Schoolkate and Zhukayev played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Tristan Schoolkate surrendered 1 set while Beibit Zhukayev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Schoolkate has played 1 set more than Zhukayev (3 vs 2). Therefore, Schoolkate played 4 games more than Zhukayev. Schoolkate scored 43 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani recorded 46 winners (56%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Schoolkate	Zhukayev
Aces	10	11
Avg per match	10	11
1st in	50/80	52/81
%1st in	63%	64%
1st pts	43/50	46/52
%1st pts	86%	88%
2nd pts	13/30	11/29
%2nd pts	43%	38%

Schoolkate blasted 10 aces . Zhukayev blasted 11 aces . Schoolkate won 86% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Zhukayev won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Schoolkate	Zhukayev
Won	4	2
Converted	4/9	2/8
% Converted	44%	25%
Conceded	7	6
Saved	4	4
% Saved	57%	67%
Times Broken	3	2

Schoolkate broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Schoolkate surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Zhukayev broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Zhukayev conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Schoolkate
	Q1 McCabe	Total
Score	3-6 7-61 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	30	30
pts	94-77	94-77
Total points	171	171
Winners	43	43
%Winners	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	50/80	50/80
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	43/50	43/50
% 1st pts	86%	86%
2nd pts	13/30	13/30
% 2nd pts	43%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/9	4/9
Converted %	44%	44%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	4/7	4
Saved %	57%	57%
Times Broken	3	3

Zhukayev
	Q1 Smith	Total
Score	7-63 7-65
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	26	26
pts	82-75	82-75
Total points	157	157
Winners	46	46
%Winners	56%	56%
SERVE
Aces	11	11
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	52/81	52/81
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	46/52	46/52
% 1st pts	88%	88%
2nd pts	11/29	11/29
% 2nd pts	38%	38%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/8	2/8
Converted %	25%	25%
Conceded	6	6
Saved	4/6	4
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	2	2

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