Mccartney Kessler and Eva Lys will clash against each other in the 4th round of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on LOTUS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mccartney Kessler who should win in 3 sets.
Mccartney Kessler -> 1.85
Eva Lys -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Mccartney Kessler vs. Eva Lys
This will be the 3rd time that Mccartney Kessler and Eva Lys face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Lys (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Lys won 7-6(7) 3-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Osaka back in 2024.
Highlights Eva Lys vs Mccartney Kessler – Osaka 16-October-2024
Mccartney Kessler
34 - 20win/loss
31
30
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-24 | 27-16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 28-13 | 2-6 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 21-12 | 11-7 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 8-2 | 6-2 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-5 | 10-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39, Mccartney reached the 4th round after beating Han Shi 6-2 7-6(5), Elise Mertens 6-2 6-4 and Barbora Krejcikova 1-6 7-5 3-0 ret..
In the 3rd round against Krejcikova, Mccartney had a free pass after Krejcikova retired on a 1-6 7-5 3-0 . scoreline.
Kessler has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of her matches (165-89). 24-12 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kessler has an aggregate114-55 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Hobart where she beat Elise Mertens in the final 6-4 3-6 6-0 and in Nottingham where she beat Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-4 7-5.
The American has an overall 34-20 win-loss record in 2025, 24-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Eva Lys
29 - 21win/loss
40
40
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 25-14 | 7-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-17 | 12-7 | 13-8 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-20 | 17-9 | 4-6 | 4-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 6-4 | 14-8 | 19-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 21-17 | 6-3 | 10-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 66, the German reached the 4th round after beating Ruien Zhang 6-1 6-0, Iva Jovic 6-3 4-6 7-5 and Elena Rybakina 6-3 1-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The German defeated Rybakina (6-3 1-6 6-4). During the match Lys scored 95 points vs Rybakina ‘s 94. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Lys scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Eva Lys lost the serve 7 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Lys put 71% of her first serves in, winning 60% (36/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 28% (7/25) on the 2nd serve. Lys broke Rybakina 7 times after converting 35% of her break points (7/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lys has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Eva has a composed 29-21 win-loss record in 2025, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kessler | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 70 |
| Pts | 220-192 | 257-221 |
| Total Points | 412 | 478 |
| Winners | 78 | 100 |
| %Winners | 35% | 39% |
Both Kessler and Lys played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mccartney Kessler surrendered 1 set, while Eva Lys conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Kessler and Lys have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Kessler played 9 games less than Lys. Kessler scored 78 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The German bagged 100 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kessler | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 122/206 | 160/246 |
| %1st in | 59% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 78/122 | 100/160 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 39/84 | 37/86 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 43% |
Kessler fired 7 aces (2.3 per match). Lys scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Kessler won 64% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Lys won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kessler | Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 20 |
| Converted | 14/24 | 20/40 |
| % Converted | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded | 13 | 30 |
| Saved | 4 | 16 |
| % Saved | 31% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 14 |
Mccartney broke her opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 31% of the break points that she conceded. Eva broke her opponents 20 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kessler | |||||
| R1 Shi | R2 Mertens | R3 Krejcikova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-65 | 6-2 6-4 | 1-6 7-5 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 22 | 61 | |
| pts | 85-73 | 61-47 | 74-72 | 220-192 | |
| Total points | 158 | 108 | 146 | 412 | |
| Winners | 31 | 20 | 27 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% | 36% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 48/80 | 31/51 | 43/75 | 122/206 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 61% | 57% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 31/48 | 20/31 | 27/43 | 78/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | 63% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 12/20 | 13/32 | 39/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 60% | 41% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/8 | 4/5 | 14/24 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 63% | 80% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 0/2 | 2/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 0% | 33% | 24% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| Lys | |||||
| R1 Zhang | R2 Jovic | R3 Rybakina | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 4-6 7-5 | 6-3 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 31 | 26 | 70 | |
| pts | 54-27 | 108-100 | 95-94 | 257-221 | |
| Total points | 81 | 208 | 189 | 478 | |
| Winners | 22 | 42 | 36 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 10 | 5 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 26/37 | 74/124 | 60/85 | 160/246 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 60% | 71% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 22/26 | 42/74 | 36/60 | 100/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 57% | 60% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 23/50 | 7/25 | 37/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 46% | 28% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 8/12 | 7/20 | 20/40 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 67% | 35% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 19 | 9 | 30 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 12/19 | 2/9 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 63% | 22% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Zeynep SonmezSonmez (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Maya JointJoint (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Zeynep SonmezSonmez (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Lois BoissonBoisson (6-2 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Eva LysLys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-3 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Paula BadosaBadosa (4-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Belinda BencicBencic – Priscilla HonHon (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Sofia KeninKenin (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-6 7-5 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Shuai ZhangZhang (7-611 6-0) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jose Hernandez-FernandezHernandez-Fernandez (7-5 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-2 6-74 6-3) – See score progression
- Marcelo ArevaloArevalo – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Pedro SousaSousa (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy RobredoRobredo – Riccardo BalzeraniBalzerani (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Danilo PetrovicPetrovic – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Sumit NagalNagal – Martin CuevasCuevas (6-3 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Lois BoissonBoisson (6-2 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Maya JointJoint (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Zeynep SonmezSonmez (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Emma NavarroNavarro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Eva LysLys – Mccartney KesslerKessler (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Cori GauffGauff (2-3) – H2H and prediction