Mccartney Kessler and Eva Lys will clash against each other in the 4th round of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on LOTUS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mccartney Kessler who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mccartney Kessler is the pick to win this match.
Mccartney Kessler -> 1.85
Eva Lys -> 1.95

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Prediction and head to head Mccartney Kessler vs. Eva Lys

This will be the 3rd time that Mccartney Kessler and Eva Lys face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Lys (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Lys won 7-6(7) 3-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Osaka back in 2024.

Highlights Eva Lys vs Mccartney Kessler – Osaka 16-October-2024

Mccartney Kessler

Mccartney Kessler

34 - 20win/loss

Hard
24-12
I Hard
0-0
Clay
4-6
Grass
6-2
Rank
31
High
30
LWLWWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-24 27-16 4-6 0-0 6-2 0-0
2024 39-22 28-13 2-6 5-0 4-3 0-0
2023 44-24 21-12 11-7 12-5 0-0 0-0
2022 8-2 6-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 10-5 10-3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 39, Mccartney reached the 4th round after beating Han Shi 6-2 7-6(5), Elise Mertens 6-2 6-4 and Barbora Krejcikova 1-6 7-5 3-0 ret..

In the 3rd round against Krejcikova, Mccartney had a free pass after Krejcikova retired on a 1-6 7-5 3-0 . scoreline.

Kessler has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of her matches (165-89). 24-12 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kessler has an aggregate114-55 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Hobart where she beat Elise Mertens in the final 6-4 3-6 6-0 and in Nottingham where she beat Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-4 7-5.

The American has an overall 34-20 win-loss record in 2025, 24-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Beijing
Kessler's Record

Eva Lys

Eva Lys

29 - 21win/loss

Hard
20-11
I Hard
0-1
Clay
7-6
Grass
2-3
Rank
40
High
40
LLWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-25 25-14 7-6 0-2 2-3 0-0
2024 30-17 12-7 13-8 1-0 4-2 0-0
2023 26-20 17-9 4-6 4-3 1-1 0-1
2022 40-22 6-4 14-8 19-7 0-2 1-1
2021 21-17 6-3 10-10 5-3 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 66, the German reached the 4th round after beating Ruien Zhang 6-1 6-0, Iva Jovic 6-3 4-6 7-5 and Elena Rybakina 6-3 1-6 6-4.

In the 3rd round, The German defeated Rybakina (6-3 1-6 6-4). During the match Lys scored 95 points vs Rybakina ‘s 94. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Lys scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Eva Lys lost the serve 7 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Lys put 71% of her first serves in, winning 60% (36/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 28% (7/25) on the 2nd serve. Lys broke Rybakina 7 times after converting 35% of her break points (7/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lys has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Eva has a composed 29-21 win-loss record in 2025, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.

Beijing
Lys's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Kessler
E.Lys
5h:02
5h:02
Time on court​
5h:45
5h:45
1h:57
1h:57
Last match​
!
2h:14
2h:14
3
3
Match played
3
3
61
61
Games Played​
70
70
8
8
Set played​​
8
8
220
220
Total points​
257
257
73.3
73.3
Avg point​
85.7
85.7
78
78
Winners
100
100
26
26
Avg Winners​
33.3
33.3
35%
35%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
4
4
2.3
2.3
Avg Aces
1.3
1.3
10
10
Double Faults
17
17
3.3
3.3
Avg Double Faults
!
5.7
5.7
78/122
78/122
1st won total​
100/160
100/160
64%
64%
1st won %
63%
63%
39/84
39/84
2nd won total​
37/86
37/86
46%
46%
2nd won %
43%
43%
-- Break Points --
14/24
14/24
BP won
20/40
20/40
4.7/8
4.7/8
Avg BP won
6.7/13.3
6.7/13.3
!
58%
58%
Won
50%
50%
13
13
Conceded
30
30
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
10
10
9
9
Broken
14
14
3
3
Avg Broken
!
4.7
4.7
4
4
Saved
16
16

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kessler Lys
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 8 8
Tot Games 61 70
Pts 220-192 257-221
Total Points 412 478
Winners 78 100
%Winners 35% 39%

Both Kessler and Lys played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mccartney Kessler surrendered 1 set, while Eva Lys conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Kessler and Lys have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Kessler played 9 games less than Lys. Kessler scored 78 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The German bagged 100 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kessler Lys
Aces 7 4
Avg per match 2.3 1.3
1st in 122/206 160/246
%1st in 59% 65%
1st pts 78/122 100/160
%1st pts 64% 63%
2nd pts 39/84 37/86
%2nd pts 46% 43%

Kessler fired 7 aces (2.3 per match). Lys scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Kessler won 64% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Lys won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kessler Lys
Won 14 20
Converted 14/24 20/40
% Converted 58% 50%
Conceded 13 30
Saved 4 16
% Saved 31% 53%
Times Broken 9 14

Mccartney broke her opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 31% of the break points that she conceded. Eva broke her opponents 20 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.

Kessler
R1
Shi
R2
Mertens
R3
Krejcikova
Total
Score 6-2 7-65 6-2 6-4 1-6 7-5 3-0 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 21 18 22 61
pts 85-73 61-47 74-72 220-192
Total points 158 108 146 412
Winners 31 20 27 78
%Winners 36% 33% 36% 35%
SERVE
Aces 0 3 4 7
Double Faults 3 0 7 10
1st in 48/80 31/51 43/75 122/206
% 1st in 60% 61% 57% 59%
1st pts 31/48 20/31 27/43 78/122
% 1st pts 65% 65% 63% 64%
2nd pts 14/32 12/20 13/32 39/84
% 2nd pts 44% 60% 41% 46%
Breaks
Won 5 5 4 14
Converted 5/11 5/8 4/5 14/24
Converted % 45% 63% 80% 58%
Conceded 5 2 6 13
Saved 2/5 0/2 2/6 4
Saved % 40% 0% 33% 24%
Times Broken 3 2 4 9
Lys
R1
Zhang
R2
Jovic
R3
Rybakina
Total
Score 6-1 6-0 6-3 4-6 7-5 6-3 1-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 13 31 26 70
pts 54-27 108-100 95-94 257-221
Total points 81 208 189 478
Winners 22 42 36 100
%Winners 41% 39% 38% 39%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 1 4
Double Faults 2 10 5 17
1st in 26/37 74/124 60/85 160/246
% 1st in 70% 60% 71% 65%
1st pts 22/26 42/74 36/60 100/160
% 1st pts 85% 57% 60% 63%
2nd pts 7/11 23/50 7/25 37/86
% 2nd pts 64% 46% 28% 43%
Breaks
Won 5 8 7 20
Converted 5/8 8/12 7/20 20/40
Converted % 63% 67% 35% 50%
Conceded 2 19 9 30
Saved 2/2 12/19 2/9 16
Saved % 100% 63% 22% 62%
Times Broken 0 7 7 14

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw