Jasmine Paolini and Marie Bouzkova will square off in the 4th round of the China Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 9:30 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.42
Marie Bouzkova -> 2.875

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Marie Bouzkova

There is no head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Marie Bouzkova since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

40 - 15win/loss

Hard
21-9
I Hard
3-0
Clay
13-3
Grass
3-3
Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 8, the Italian got to the 4th round after defeating Anastasija Sevastova 6-1 6-3 and Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-0.

In the 3rd round, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Kenin (6-3 6-0). During the match, Paolini scored 61 points vs Kenin’s 40. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paolini bagged 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 80% of her first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (4/12) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Kenin 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jasmine hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 60% of the points she played.

Paolini has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (350-246). 21-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has a composed 125-95 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rome where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-4 6-2.

Paolini has a compiled 40-15 win-loss record in 2025, 21-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Beijing
Paolini's Record

Marie Bouzkova

Marie Bouzkova

29 - 17win/loss

Hard
18-8
I Hard
1-1
Clay
9-6
Grass
1-2
Rank
43
High
24
LLWLWLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-21 20-12 9-6 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 27-22 17-16 7-3 1-0 2-3 0-0
2023 28-24 19-16 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2022 42-14 33-10 5-2 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 16-21 11-13 1-4 2-1 2-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 52, Marie got to the 4th round after defeating Tatjana Maria 6-2 6-4, Magda Linette 7-5 7-5 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-3 7-5.

In the 3rd round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-3 7-5). During the match Bouzkova scored 79 points vs Kudermetova’s 66. Marie was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Bouzkova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 68% of her first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bouzkova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Prague where she overcame Linda Noskova in the final 2-6 6-1 6-3.

Bouzkova has a composed 29-17 win-loss record in 2025, 18-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See her history.

Beijing
Bouzkova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
M.Bouzkova
2h:16
2h:16
Time on court​
!
5h:26
5h:26
1h:06
1h:06
Last match​
!
2h:08
2h:08
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
31
31
Games Played​
63
63
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
126
126
Total points​
214
214
63
63
Avg point​
71.3
71.3
61
61
Winners
84
84
30.5
30.5
Avg Winners​
28
28
48%
48%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
3
3
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
1
1
3
3
Double Faults
9
9
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
61/90
61/90
1st won total​
84/119
84/119
68%
68%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
17/30
17/30
2nd won total​
41/78
41/78
57%
57%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
9/16
9/16
BP won
14/20
14/20
4.5/8
4.5/8
Avg BP won
4.7/6.7
4.7/6.7
!
56%
56%
Won
!
70%
70%
14
14
Conceded
17
17
7
7
Avg Conceded
5.7
5.7
1
1
Broken
7
7
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
13
13
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Bouzkova
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 31 63
Pts 126-84 214-176
Total Points 210 390
Winners 61 84
%Winners 48% 39%

Paolini played 2 matches while Bouzkova competed in 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Paolini has played 2 set(s) less than Bouzkova (4 vs 6). Therefore, Paolini played 32 games less than Bouzkova. Paolini scored 61 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech scored 84 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Bouzkova
Aces 5 3
Avg per match 2.5 1
1st in 90/120 119/197
%1st in 75% 60%
1st pts 61/90 84/119
%1st pts 68% 71%
2nd pts 17/30 41/78
%2nd pts 57% 53%

Paolini managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Bouzkova struck 3 aces (1 per match). Paolini won 68% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Bouzkova won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Bouzkova
Won 9 14
Converted 9/16 14/20
% Converted 56% 70%
Conceded 14 17
Saved 13 10
% Saved 93% 59%
Times Broken 1 7

Paolini broke her opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Paolini lost her serve once and she saved 93% of the break points that she conceded. Bouzkova broke her opponents 14 times with a 70% conversion rate. Bouzkova conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R2
Sevastova		 R3
Kenin		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-3 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 15 31
pts 65-44 61-40 126-84
Total points 109 101 210
Winners 28 33 61
%Winners 43% 54% 48%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 43/61 47/59 90/120
% 1st in 70% 80% 75%
1st pts 28/43 33/47 61/90
% 1st pts 65% 70% 68%
2nd pts 13/18 4/12 17/30
% 2nd pts 72% 33% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/8 5/8 9/16
Converted % 50% 63% 56%
Conceded 7 7 14
Saved 7/7 6/7 13
Saved % 100% 86% 93%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Bouzkova
R1
Maria		 R2
Linette		 R3
Kudermetova		 Total
Score 6-2 6-4 7-5 7-5 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 18 24 21 63
pts 54-37 81-73 79-66 214-176
Total points 91 154 145 390
Winners 20 31 33 84
%Winners 37% 38% 42% 39%
SERVE
Aces 2 0 1 3
Double Faults 3 4 2 9
1st in 24/45 45/79 50/73 119/197
% 1st in 53% 57% 68% 60%
1st pts 20/24 31/45 33/50 84/119
% 1st pts 83% 69% 66% 71%
2nd pts 16/21 15/34 10/23 41/78
% 2nd pts 76% 44% 43% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 6 5 14
Converted 3/4 6/7 5/9 14/20
Converted % 75% 86% 56% 70%
Conceded 0 7 10 17
Saved 0/0 3/7 7/10 10
Saved % – 43% 70% 57%
Times Broken 0 4 3 7

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw

Paolini
More Stats
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Bouzkova

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