Carlos Maria Zarate and Santiago De La Fuente will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Antofagasta Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CANCHA 8. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Santiago De La Fuente who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Santiago De La Fuente is the pick to win this match.
Santiago De La Fuente -> 1.24
Carlos Maria Zarate -> 3.72

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Maria Zarate vs. Santiago De La Fuente

This will be the 2nd time that Carlos Maria Zarate and Santiago De La Fuente square off. The head to head is 1-0 for De La Fuente (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, De La Fuente won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in M15 Salta back in July 2025.

Carlos Maria Zarate

Carlos Maria Zarate

34 - 24win/loss

Clay
34-23
Rank
674
High
674
LWWLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-30 0-0 47-29 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 15-18 5-8 10-10 0-0 0-0 0-0

Currently unranked, the Argentine reached the qualifications after defeating Guido Ivan Justo 6-4 1-6 7-6(1).

In the qualifications, Maria Zarate defeated Ivan Justo (6-4 1-6 7-61).During the match, Maria Zarate scored less points (4) than Ivan Justo. In fact, the world no. won 109 points vs Ivan Justo’s. That means that Maria Zarate was more focused during the important points. Carlos was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Maria Zarate scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 5 double faults. Carlos Maria Zarate lost the serve 5 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Maria Zarate put 57% of his first serves in, winning 59% (45/76) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (28/57) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Ivan Justo 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Maria Zarate has a winning record in the last 2 years having won 53% of his matches (48-42). 33-23 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Maria Zarate has a composed43-33 win-loss record in the last 2 years on clay.

Maria Zarate’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 San Salvador de Jujuy and M15 Santiago.

The Argentine has a compiled 33-24 win-loss record in 2025, 33-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Antofagasta Challenger

Carlos has never competed in this tournament before.

Antofagasta Challenger
Maria Zarate's Record

Santiago De La Fuente

Santiago De La Fuente

25 - 17win/loss

Clay
23-16
Rank
625
High
618
LLWLLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-23 0-0 28-22 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 11-13 0-0 11-13 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 2-5 0-0 2-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 17-14 0-0 17-14 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 25-22 0-1 25-21 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 654 (career-high), the Argentine got to the qualifications after beating Juan Sebastian Osorio 6-4 6-1.

In the qualifications, De La Fuente had a good straight sets win against Sebastian Osorio (6-4 6-1). During the match De La Fuente scored 65 points vs Sebastian Osorio’s 47. De La Fuente was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, De La Fuente bagged 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Santiago De La Fuente conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, De La Fuente put 78% of his first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Sebastian Osorio 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Santiago’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Salta.

The Argentine has an aggregate 25-16 win-loss record in 2025, 23-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Antofagasta Challenger
De La Fuente's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

C.Maria Zarate
S.De Fuente
!
2h:41
2h:41
Time on court​
1h:23
1h:23
!
2h:41
2h:41
Last match​
1h:23
1h:23
1
1
Match played
1
1
30
30
Games Played​
17
17
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
109
109
Total points​
65
65
109
109
Avg point​
65
65
45
45
Winners
30
30
45
45
Avg Winners​
30
30
41%
41%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
1
1
Aces
2
2
1
1
Avg Aces
2
2
5
5
Double Faults
0
0
5
5
Avg Double Faults
0
0
45/76
45/76
1st won total​
30/40
30/40
59%
59%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
28/57
28/57
2nd won total​
5/11
5/11
49%
49%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
4/6
4/6
BP won
4/8
4/8
4/6
4/6
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
!
67%
67%
Won
50%
50%
17
17
Conceded
2
2
17
17
Avg Conceded
2
2
5
5
Broken
0
0
!
5
5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
12
12
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Maria Zarate De La Fuente
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 30 17
Pts 109-113 65-47
Total Points 222 112
Winners 45 30
%Winners 41% 46%

Both Maria Zarate and De La Fuente played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Carlos Maria Zarate lost 1 set while Santiago De La Fuente hasn’t conceded a set so far. Maria Zarate has played 1 set more than De La Fuente (3 vs 2). Therefore, Maria Zarate played 13 games more than De La Fuente. The Argentine scored 45 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, De La Fuente managed to score 30 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Maria Zarate De La Fuente
Aces 1 2
Avg per match 1 2
1st in 76/133 40/51
%1st in 57% 78%
1st pts 45/76 30/40
%1st pts 59% 75%
2nd pts 28/57 5/11
%2nd pts 49% 45%

Maria Zarate bagged 1 ace . De La Fuente also blasted 2 aces . Maria Zarate won 59% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, De La Fuente won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Maria Zarate De La Fuente
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/8
% Converted 67% 50%
Conceded 17 2
Saved 12 2
% Saved 71% 100%
Times Broken 5 0

The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Argentine surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Santiago broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. De La Fuente was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Maria Zarate
Q1
Ivan Justo
Total
Score 6-4 1-6 7-61
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 109-113 109-113
Total points 222 222
Winners 45 45
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 76/133 76/133
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 45/76 45/76
% 1st pts 59% 59%
2nd pts 28/57 28/57
% 2nd pts 49% 49%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 17 17
Saved 12/17 12
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 5 5
De La Fuente
Q1
Sebastian Osorio
Total
Score 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 65-47 65-47
Total points 112 112
Winners 30 30
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 40/51 40/51
% 1st in 78% 78%
1st pts 30/40 30/40
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 5/11 5/11
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

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