Daniel Masur and Luca Castagnola will square off in the qualifications of the Tiburon Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on CHUANG/DE LEON FAMILY. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Masur who should win in 2 sets.
Daniel Masur -> 1.21
Luca Castagnola -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Masur vs. Luca Castagnola
This will be the 2nd time that Daniel Masur and Luca Castagnola face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Masur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Masur won 6-2 6-1 in the qualifications in the Las Vegas Challenger back in September 2025.
Daniel Masur
23 - 23win/loss
492
176
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-27 | 9-6 | 8-11 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-26 | 1-2 | 11-10 | 22-11 | 1-2 | 12-1 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 7-8 | 9-7 | 9-5 | 0-1 | 9-3 |
| 2022 | 25-28 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 4-9 | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| 2021 | 28-26 | 4-4 | 1-7 | 15-12 | 3-2 | 5-1 |
Ranked no. 444, Masur got to the qualifications after beating Ozan Baris 6-4 7-6(3).
In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Baris (6-4 7-63). During the match, Masur scored 87 points vs Baris’s 79. Masur was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Masur bagged 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Masur was very efficient on serve to win 71% (39/55) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniel broke Baris once after converting 13% of his break points (1/8).
Masur has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (332-261). 8-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Masur has an overall 53-49 match record in the last years on hard.
Daniel’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Cervia and the Columbus Challenger.
Daniel has a compiled 22-23 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tiburon Challenger
The German has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Castagnola
28 - 29win/loss
645
575
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-32 | 14-15 | 13-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-30 | 14-11 | 10-17 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-31 | 10-6 | 31-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-31 | 5-3 | 44-27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-20 | 14-9 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 633, the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Pietro Orlando Fellin 6-4 2-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Castagnola defeated Orlando Fellin (6-4 2-6 6-4).During the match Castagnola scored less points (1) than Orlando Fellin. In fact, the world no. 444 won 88 points vs Orlando Fellin’s. That means that Castagnola was more focused during the important points. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Castagnola blasted 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luca Castagnola lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Castagnola put 55% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (19/40) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Orlando Fellin 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Castagnola’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.
Luca has an aggregate 28-28 win-loss record in 2025, 13-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Masur | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 28 |
| Pts | 87-79 | 88-89 |
| Total Points | 166 | 177 |
| Winners | 39 | 34 |
| %Winners | 45% | 39% |
Both Masur and Castagnola played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Luca Castagnola dropped 1 set while Daniel Masur hasn’t lost a set so far. Masur has played 1 set(s) less than Castagnola (2 vs 3). Therefore, Masur played 5 games less than Castagnola. Daniel scored 39 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Castagnola managed to score 34 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Masur | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 55/84 | 49/89 |
| %1st in | 65% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 39/55 | 34/49 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 19/29 | 19/40 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 48% |
Masur bagged 2 aces . Castagnola struck 6 aces . Masur won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Castagnola won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Masur | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 4 |
| Converted | 1/8 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 13% | 67% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Masur broke his opponent once with a 13% conversion rate. Masur had a solid display on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 6 break points. Castagnola broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Castagnola conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Masur | |||
| Q1 Baris | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 87-79 | 87-79 | |
| Total points | 166 | 166 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 55/84 | 55/84 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 39/55 | 39/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/29 | 19/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/8 | 1/8 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 13% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Castagnola | |||
| Q1 Orlando | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 88-89 | 88-89 | |
| Total points | 177 | 177 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 49/89 | 49/89 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 34/49 | 34/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 19/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel MasurMasur – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Renta TokudaTokuda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex RybakovRybakov – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alfredo PerezPerez – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin HassanHassan – Garrett JohnsJohns (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz – Marek GengelGengel (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Moerani BouzigeBouzige – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Tibo ColsonColson (0-0) – H2H and prediction