Renta Tokuda and Carlo Alberto Caniato will play each other in the qualifications of the Tiburon Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on CHUANG/DE LEON FAMILY. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Renta Tokuda who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Renta Tokuda is the pick to win this match.
Renta Tokuda -> 1.35
Carlo Alberto Caniato -> 2.99

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Prediction and head to head Renta Tokuda vs. Carlo Alberto Caniato

There is no head to head record between Renta Tokuda and Carlo Alberto Caniato since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Renta Tokuda

Ranked no. 341, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Strong Kirchheimer 6-2 6-4.

In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Kirchheimer (6-2 6-4). During the match, Tokuda scored 64 points vs Kirchheimer’s 47. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tokuda scored just 1 ace during the match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Renta Tokuda was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (24/34) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Kirchheimer 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Tokuda has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (279-166). 56-17 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tokuda has an overall235-131 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Tokuda’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Tashkent,M15 Tokyo and M25 Sapporo.

Tokuda has a composed 56-17 win-loss record in 2025, 56-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tiburon Challenger

The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Ranked no. 471, the Italian reached the qualifications after defeating Keegan Smith 6-3 6-4.

In the qualifications, Carlo had a good straight sets win against Smith (6-3 6-4). During the match Alberto scored 69 points vs Smith’s 54. Carlo was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Alberto bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Carlo Alberto Caniato was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (24/29) of his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alberto broke Smith twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).

Carlo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Cattolica and M25+H Bacau.

Carlo has an overall 31-19 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tokuda	Alberto
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	19
Pts	64-47	69-54
Total Points	111	123
Winners	24	24
%Winners	38%	35%

Both Tokuda and Alberto played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tokuda and Alberto have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Tokuda played 1 game less than Alberto. Tokuda scored 24 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Alberto struck 24 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tokuda	Alberto
Aces	1	3
Avg per match	1	3
1st in	34/51	29/54
%1st in	67%	54%
1st pts	24/34	24/29
%1st pts	71%	83%
2nd pts	12/17	17/25
%2nd pts	71%	68%

Tokuda blasted 1 ace . Alberto also managed to score 3 aces . Tokuda won 71% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Alberto won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tokuda	Alberto
Won	4	2
Converted	4/10	2/9
% Converted	40%	22%
Conceded	3	2
Saved	2	2
% Saved	67%	100%
Times Broken	1	0

The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Japanese lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alberto broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Tokuda
	Q1 Kirchheimer	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	64-47	64-47
Total points	111	111
Winners	24	24
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	34/51	34/51
% 1st in	67%	67%
1st pts	24/34	24/34
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	12/17	12/17
% 2nd pts	71%	71%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Alberto
	Q1 Smith	Total
Score	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	69-54	69-54
Total points	123	123
Winners	24	24
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	29/54	29/54
% 1st in	54%	54%
1st pts	24/29	24/29
% 1st pts	83%	83%
2nd pts	17/25	17/25
% 2nd pts	68%	68%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/9	2/9
Converted %	22%	22%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniel MasurMasur – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Renta TokudaTokuda – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex RybakovRybakov – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alfredo PerezPerez – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Benjamin HassanHassan – Garrett JohnsJohns (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nicolas MejiaMejia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz – Marek GengelGengel (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jurij RodionovRodionov – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Moerani BouzigeBouzige – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andre IlaganIlagan – Tibo ColsonColson (0-0) – H2H and prediction