Max Houkes and Lilian Marmousez will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Braga Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lilian Marmousez who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lilian Marmousez is the pick to win this match.
Lilian Marmousez -> 1.58
Max Houkes -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Max Houkes vs. Lilian Marmousez

There is no head to head record between Max Houkes and Lilian Marmousez since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Max Houkes

Max Houkes

37 - 28win/loss

Clay
37-26
Grass
0-1
Rank
270
High
245
WWWLWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-31 4-2 44-27 0-1 0-1 0-0
2024 44-17 0-0 44-17 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 40-33 1-1 39-30 0-2 0-0 0-0
2022 70-20 0-0 70-20 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 32-16 2-2 30-14 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 292, the Dutch got to the qualifications after beating Mate Valkusz 0-6 6-4 6-2.

In the qualifications against Valkusz, The Dutch recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-4 6-2).During the match, Houkes scored less points (6) than Valkusz. In fact, the world no. 292 won 78 points vs Valkusz’s. That means that Houkes was more focused during the important points. The Dutch was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Regarding the service games, Houkes struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Max Houkes lost the serve 6 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Houkes put 51% of his first serves in, winning 48% (20/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (21/40) on the 2nd serve. Max broke Valkusz 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Houkes has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (286-154). 37-24 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Houkes has an aggregate272-135 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

Max’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,M25 Ueberlingen and M25 Meerbusch.

Max has an overall 37-26 win-loss record in 2025, 37-24 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Braga Challenger

Max has never competed in this tournament before.

Braga Challenger
Houkes's Record

Lilian Marmousez

Lilian Marmousez

52 - 15win/loss

Hard
5-3
I Hard
1-1
Clay
46-11
Rank
349
High
342
LLLWWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 52-18 5-3 46-12 1-3 0-0 0-0
2024 57-22 14-9 42-12 1-1 0-0 0-0
2023 24-15 13-3 9-9 2-3 0-0 0-0
2022 15-17 1-2 11-12 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 25-18 15-9 8-7 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 359, Lilian got to the qualifications after beating Alexander Donski 6-4 7-6(5).

In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Donski (6-4 7-65). During the match Marmousez scored 66 points vs Donski’s 60. Marmousez was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Marmousez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Lilian Marmousez lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Marmousez put 54% of his first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Lilian broke Donski 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

The French player best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Alkmaar,M15 Amstelveen,M15 Litija,M15 Frankfurt,M25 Koksijde and M25 Oldenzaal.

The French player has an aggregate 51-15 win-loss record in 2025, 45-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Braga Challenger
Marmousez's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Houkes
L.Marmousez
1h:59
1h:59
Time on court​
1h:32
1h:32
1h:59
1h:59
Last match​
1h:32
1h:32
1
1
Match played
1
1
24
24
Games Played​
23
23
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
78
78
Total points​
66
66
78
78
Avg point​
66
66
20
20
Winners
23
23
20
20
Avg Winners​
23
23
26%
26%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
1
1
2
2
Avg Aces
1
1
2
2
Double Faults
4
4
2
2
Avg Double Faults
4
4
20/42
20/42
1st won total​
23/33
23/33
!
48%
48%
1st won %
70%
70%
21/40
21/40
2nd won total​
14/28
14/28
53%
53%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
6/13
6/13
BP won
5/10
5/10
6/13
6/13
Avg BP won
5/10
5/10
46%
46%
Won
50%
50%
8
8
Conceded
8
8
8
8
Avg Conceded
8
8
6
6
Broken
4
4
!
6
6
Avg Broken
4
4
2
2
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Houkes Marmousez
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 24 23
Pts 78-84 66-60
Total Points 162 126
Winners 20 23
%Winners 26% 35%

Both Houkes and Marmousez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Max Houkes surrendered 1 set while Lilian Marmousez hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Houkes has played 1 set more than Marmousez (3 vs 2). Therefore, Houkes played 1 game more than Marmousez. Houkes scored 20 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, Lilian scored 23 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Houkes Marmousez
Aces 2 1
Avg per match 2 1
1st in 42/82 33/61
%1st in 51% 54%
1st pts 20/42 23/33
%1st pts 48% 70%
2nd pts 21/40 14/28
%2nd pts 53% 50%

Houkes fired 2 aces . Marmousez made 1 ace . Houkes won 48% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Marmousez won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Houkes Marmousez
Won 6 5
Converted 6/13 5/10
% Converted 46% 50%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 2 4
% Saved 25% 50%
Times Broken 6 4

Houkes broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Dutch lost his serve 6 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Marmousez conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Houkes
Q1
Valkusz
Total
Score 0-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 24 24
pts 78-84 78-84
Total points 162 162
Winners 20 20
%Winners 26% 26%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 42/82 42/82
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 20/42 20/42
% 1st pts 48% 48%
2nd pts 21/40 21/40
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/13 6/13
Converted % 46% 46%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 2/8 2
Saved % 25% 25%
Times Broken 6 6
Marmousez
Q1
Donski
Total
Score 6-4 7-65
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 23
pts 66-60 66-60
Total points 126 126
Winners 23 23
%Winners 35% 35%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 33/61 33/61
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 23/33 23/33
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 14/28 14/28
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 4/8 4
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 4 4

Upcoming matches in the draw