[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Carlos Alcaraz’s draw vs Ruud, Fritz to win the Tokyo

Tokyo draw preview with H2H - Carlos Alcaraz may need to topple Casper Ruud, Taylor Fritz to conquer the tournament in the Japan Open Tennis Championships.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats info

Carlos Alcaraz is 2 wins away to conquer the title in Tokyo. Alcaraz has defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-2, Zizou Bergs 6-4 6-3 and Brandon Nakashima 6-2 6-4 to reach the semifinal where he will face Casper Ruud.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw withhisprojected opposition in Japan Open Tennis Championships. The Spaniard has a winning record (7-2) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Sebastian Baez (41) – 6-4 6-2
R2 – Zizou Bergs (45) – 6-4 6-3
1/4 – Brandon Nakashima (33) – 6-2 6-4
1/2 – Casper Ruud (12) – H2H 4-1
Fin – Taylor Fritz (5) – H2H 3-1
or Jenson Brooksby (86) – H2H 1-0
Alcaraz
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

1/2 – Casper Ruud’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

39 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
12
High
2
LLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-16 12-8 14-5 13-3 0-0 0-0
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 8-10 27-13 9-7 0-1 0-0
2018 43-29 19-9 19-18 5-1 0-1 0-0

Casper Ruud has a 33-12 record in 2025, 12-6 on hard. During the last 11 years, the Norwegian has a 118-76 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Norwegian won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was winning the tournament in Madrid where he defeated Jack Draper in the final 7-5 3-6 6-4.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Ruud lost to Jordan Thompson in the 1st round 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud

This contest would be 6th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 48-17 record in 2025, 29-10 on hard. As for the previous 12 years, Fritz has a 265-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Taylor will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 5 matches winning streak.

His most significant result of this current year was winning the tournament in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4), in Stuttgart where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0), and in Eastbourne where he overcame Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships the American surrendered to Arthur Fils in the 1st round 6-4 3-6 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz

This contest would be 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Carlos Alcaraz may come up against Jenson Brooksby. Their head to head is 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.