Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev will fight against each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 21^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:30 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.66
Daniil Medvedev -> 2.22

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Daniil Medvedev

This will be the 21^st time that Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 13-7 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 5-4 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 7-6(3) 6-7(1) 6-4 in the semifinal in Halle back in June 2025.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev – Halle 21-June-2025

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 3, Zverev got to the quarter after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 6-3

and Corentin Moutet 7-5 3-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Alexander defeated Moutet (7-5 3-6 6-3).During the match, Zverev scored less points (5) than Moutet. In fact, the world no. 3 won 89 points vs Moutet’s. That means that Zverev was more focused during the important points. Zverev was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zverev recorded 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 75% of his first serves in, winning 63% (45/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Moutet 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Zverev has an extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (492-193). 23-7 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Zverev has a compiled 202-82 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Munich where he defeated Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

The German has a composed 47-19 win-loss record in 2025, 23-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 18, Daniil got to the quarter after beating Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-3 6-3). During the match Medvedev scored 65 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 51. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.

About the serving games, Medvedev bagged 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Medvedev put 55% of his first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Davidovich Fokina 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Medvedev’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Halle.

The Russian has a compiled 29-19 win-loss record in 2025, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zverev	Medvedev
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	49	37
Pts	153-139	126-94
Total Points	292	220
Winners	77	43
%Winners	50%	34%

Both Zverev and Medvedev played 2 matches. At the moment, Alexander Zverev surrendered 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Zverev has played 1 set more than Medvedev (5 vs 4). Therefore, Zverev played 12 games more than Medvedev. Alexander scored 77 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Medvedev fired 43 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zverev	Medvedev
Aces	11	14
Avg per match	5.5	7
1st in	112/145	58/99
%1st in	77%	59%
1st pts	77/112	43/58
%1st pts	69%	74%
2nd pts	18/33	19/41
%2nd pts	55%	46%

Zverev bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Medvedev scored 14 aces (7 per match). Zverev won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zverev	Medvedev
Won	7	11
Converted	7/13	11/20
% Converted	54%	55%
Conceded	10	5
Saved	6	0
% Saved	60%	0%
Times Broken	4	5

The German broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Medvedev broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
	R1 Sonego	R2 Moutet	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	7-5 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	19	30	49
pts	64-45	89-94	153-139
Total points	109	183	292
Winners	32	45	77
%Winners	50%	51%	50%
SERVE
Aces	4	7	11
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	41/50	71/95	112/145
% 1st in	82%	75%	77%
1st pts	32/41	45/71	77/112
% 1st pts	78%	63%	69%
2nd pts	6/9	12/24	18/33
% 2nd pts	67%	50%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/4	4/9	7/13
Converted %	75%	44%	54%
Conceded	1	9	10
Saved	0/1	6/9	6
Saved %	0%	67%	34%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Medvedev
	R1 Norrie	R2 Davidovich Fokina	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	18	37
pts	61-43	65-51	126-94
Total points	104	116	220
Winners	22	21	43
%Winners	36%	32%	34%
SERVE
Aces	9	5	14
Double Faults	3	5	8
1st in	27/43	31/56	58/99
% 1st in	63%	55%	59%
1st pts	22/27	21/31	43/58
% 1st pts	81%	68%	74%
2nd pts	8/16	11/25	19/41
% 2nd pts	50%	44%	46%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/11	6/9	11/20
Converted %	45%	67%	55%
Conceded	2	3	5
Saved	0/2	0/3	0
Saved %	0%	0%	0%
Times Broken	2	3	5

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (13-7) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-1) – H2H and prediction