Marta Kostyuk and Aliaksandra Sasnovich will face off in the 3rd round of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on MOON. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marta Kostyuk who should win in 2 sets.
Marta Kostyuk -> 1.31
Aliaksandra Sasnovich -> 3.45
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Prediction and head to head Marta Kostyuk vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich
This will be the 2nd time that Marta Kostyuk and Aliaksandra Sasnovich play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kostyuk (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kostyuk won 6-1 6-3 in the 1st round in Guadalajara back in 2022.
Marta Kostyuk
27 - 18win/loss
26
16
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-20 | 19-13 | 7-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-22 | 24-14 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, the Ukrainian reached the 3rd round after beating Ella Seidel 6-1 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Marta had a good straight sets win against Seidel (6-1 6-1). During the match, Kostyuk scored 59 points vs Seidel’s 29. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kostyuk managed to score 4 aces and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Marta Kostyuk was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Marta broke Seidel 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Kostyuk has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (245-148). 18-11 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kostyuk has an overall 133-79 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Kostyuk has a composed 27-18 win-loss record in 2025, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
31 - 22win/loss
111
29
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-26 | 8-13 | 11-7 | 7-3 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-23 | 10-12 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-26 | 16-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-21 | 18-10 | 12-7 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-23 | 11-9 | 8-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 130, Aliaksandra reached the 3rd round after beating Tatiana Prozorova 6-4 6-1, Varvara Lepchenko 6-4 6-1, Janice Tjen 6-7(4) 7-5 6-1 and Naomi Osaka 1-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Osaka, The Belarussian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-2).During the match Sasnovich scored less points (5) than Osaka. In fact, the world no. 28 won 76 points vs Osaka’s. That means that Sasnovich was more focused during the important points. The Belarussian was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Sasnovich scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Aliaksandra Sasnovich lost the serve 4 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sasnovich put 57% of her first serves in, winning 59% (23/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Osaka 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aliaksandra started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Aliaksandra’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Napoca,the Vic and the Paris.
The Belarussian has an aggregate 31-22 win-loss record in 2025, 6-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kostyuk | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 14 | 91 |
| Pts | 59-29 | 315-266 |
| Total Points | 88 | 581 |
| Winners | 25 | 116 |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% |
Kostyuk played 1 match while Sasnovich competed in 4 matches. Sasnovich started her run from the qualifications while Kostyuk had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Aliaksandra Sasnovich conceded 2 sets while Marta Kostyuk hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Kostyuk has played 8 set(s) less than Sasnovich (2 vs 10). Therefore, Kostyuk played 77 games less than Sasnovich. Kostyuk scored 25 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Belarussian recorded 116 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kostyuk | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 161/257 |
| %1st in | 69% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 116/161 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 43/96 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 45% |
Kostyuk recorded 4 aces . Sasnovich managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Kostyuk won 81% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Sasnovich won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kostyuk | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 22 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 22/49 |
| % Converted | 83% | 45% |
| Conceded | 3 | 23 |
| Saved | 3 | 13 |
| % Saved | 100% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 10 |
The Ukrainian broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Ukrainian was rock solid on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Belarussian broke her opponents 22 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kostyuk | |||
| R2 Seidel | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 59-29 | 59-29 | |
| Total points | 88 | 88 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 31/45 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 25/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Sasnovich | ||||||
| Q1 Prozorova | Q3 Lepchenko | R1 Tjen | R2 Osaka | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-74 7-5 6-1 | 1-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 32 | 25 | 91 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 61-40 | 114-97 | 76-81 | 315-266 | |
| Total points | 112 | 101 | 211 | 157 | 581 | |
| Winners | 27 | 17 | 49 | 23 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 28% | 43% | 30% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 36/46 | 25/45 | 61/98 | 39/68 | 161/257 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 56% | 62% | 57% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 17/25 | 49/61 | 23/39 | 116/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 68% | 80% | 59% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 1/10 | 9/20 | 19/37 | 14/29 | 43/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 10% | 45% | 51% | 48% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 7/16 | 4/10 | 5/10 | 22/49 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 44% | 40% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/8 | 6/7 | 1/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 63% | 86% | 20% | 202% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Paula BadosaBadosa (4-2 ret. (Gibert ret.)) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-6 7-5 3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Sofia KeninKenin (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Eva LysLys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-3 1-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cori GauffGauff – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jose Hernandez-FernandezHernandez-Fernandez (7-5 3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hugo DellienDellien – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-2 6-74 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcelo ArevaloArevalo – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Pedro SousaSousa (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy RobredoRobredo – Riccardo BalzeraniBalzerani (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Danilo PetrovicPetrovic – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sumit NagalNagal – Martin CuevasCuevas (6-3 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Sofia KeninKenin (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Priscilla HonHon (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Eva LysLys – Mccartney KesslerKessler (2-0) – H2H and prediction