Iga Swiatek and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano will play each other in the 3^rd round of the China Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:30 pm on LOTUS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.03
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano -> 12.25

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

This will be the 2^nd time that Iga Swiatek and Maria Camila Osorio Serrano face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-2 6-3 in the 2^nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2023.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano – Australian Open 18-January-2023

Iga Swiatek

Ranked no. 2, the Pole got to the 3^rd round after defeating Yue Yuan 6-0 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Iga had a good straight sets win against Yuan (6-0 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 66 points vs Yuan’s 38. Swiatek was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek blasted 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Iga Swiatek was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of her 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Swiatek broke Yuan 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Swiatek has an extraordinary win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (407-89). 37-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a composed 199-50 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title at the Wimbledon where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-0 6-0 and in Cincinnati where she defeated Jasmine Paolini in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Seoul where she beat Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 1-6 7-6(3) 7-5.

Swiatek has an overall 58-13 win-loss record in 2025, 37-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Ranked no. 83, the Colombian reached the 3^rd round after defeating Ann Li 7-5 6-7(5) 7-5 and Anna Kalinskaya 6-1 4-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Colombian defeated Kalinskaya (6-1 4-6 6-4). During the match Camila Osorio Serrano scored 91 points vs Kalinskaya’s 81. The Colombian was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Camila Osorio Serrano recorded 8 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Maria Camila Osorio Serrano lost the serve 4 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Camila Osorio Serrano put 57% of her first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (18/40) on the 2nd serve. The Colombian broke Kalinskaya 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Camila Osorio Serrano has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Bogota where she overcame Katarzyna Kawa in the final 6-3 6-3.

Camila Osorio Serrano has a compiled 19-16 win-loss record in 2025, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Camila Osorio Serrano
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	6
Tot Games	15	64
Pts	66-38	232-216
Total Points	104	448
Winners	25	95
%Winners	38%	41%

Swiatek played 1 match while Camila Osorio Serrano competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Maria Camila Osorio Serrano conceded 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 4 set(s) less than Camila Osorio Serrano (2 vs 6). Therefore, Swiatek played 49 games less than Camila Osorio Serrano. Swiatek scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Colombian scored 95 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Camila Osorio Serrano
Aces	2	9
Avg per match	2	4.5
1st in	33/43	135/220
%1st in	77%	61%
1st pts	25/33	95/135
%1st pts	76%	70%
2nd pts	7/10	38/85
%2nd pts	70%	45%

Swiatek struck 2 aces . Camila Osorio Serrano made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Swiatek won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Camila Osorio Serrano won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Camila Osorio Serrano
Won	5	11
Converted	5/11	11/26
% Converted	45%	42%
Conceded	1	23
Saved	0	16
% Saved	0%	70%
Times Broken	1	7

Iga broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Pole dropped her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The Colombian broke her opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Camila Osorio Serrano conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R2 Yuan	Total
Score	6-0 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	66-38	66-38
Total points	104	104
Winners	25	25
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	33/43	33/43
% 1st in	77%	77%
1st pts	25/33	25/33
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	7/10	7/10
% 2nd pts	70%	70%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/11	5/11
Converted %	45%	45%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Camila Osorio Serrano
	R1 Li	R2 Kalinskaya	Total
Score	7-5 6-75 7-5	6-1 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	37	27	64
pts	141-135	91-81	232-216
Total points	276	172	448
Winners	60	35	95
%Winners	43%	38%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	8	9
Double Faults	11	7	18
1st in	83/128	52/92	135/220
% 1st in	65%	57%	61%
1st pts	60/83	35/52	95/135
% 1st pts	72%	67%	70%
2nd pts	20/45	18/40	38/85
% 2nd pts	44%	45%	45%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/14	6/12	11/26
Converted %	36%	50%	42%
Conceded	10	13	23
Saved	7/10	9/13	16
Saved %	70%	69%	139%
Times Broken	3	4	7

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Sofia KeninKenin (6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Eva LysLys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-3 1-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cori GauffGauff – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Paula BadosaBadosa (4-2 ret. (Gibert ret.)) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Mccartney KesslerKessler – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-6 7-5 3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcelo ArevaloArevalo – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Pedro SousaSousa (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tommy RobredoRobredo – Riccardo BalzeraniBalzerani (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Danilo PetrovicPetrovic – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sumit NagalNagal – Martin CuevasCuevas (6-3 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jose Hernandez-FernandezHernandez-Fernandez (7-5 3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Hugo DellienDellien – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-2 6-7⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Sofia KeninKenin (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Priscilla HonHon (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Eva LysLys – Mccartney KesslerKessler (2-0) – H2H and prediction