Lorenzo Musetti and Learner Tien will square off in the quarter of the China Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 7:00 pm on LOTUS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.47
Learner Tien -> 2.68

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Learner Tien

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Learner Tien since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 9, Lorenzo got to the quarter after beating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6(3) 6-7(4) 6-4 and Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (6-3 6-3). During the match, Musetti scored 62 points vs Mannarino’s 41. Musetti was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (255-175). 16-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Musetti has an overall66-55 record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Carlo and Chengdu.

Lorenzo has an overall 35-14 win-loss record in 2025, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Learner Tien

Ranked no. 52, Tien reached the quarter after defeating Francisco Cerundolo 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Learner had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-3 6-2). During the match Tien scored 63 points vs Cobolli’s 45. Tien was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Tien scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Learner Tien lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tien put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Learner broke Cobolli 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The American has a compiled 28-22 win-loss record in 2025, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Beijing

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Tien
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	54	46
Pts	169-143	157-133
Total Points	312	290
Winners	79	60
%Winners	47%	38%

Both Musetti and Tien played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set, while Learner Tien surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Tien have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Musetti played 8 games more than Tien. The Italian scored 79 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The American managed to score 60 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Tien
Aces	10	2
Avg per match	5	1
1st in	101/163	92/152
%1st in	62%	61%
1st pts	79/101	60/92
%1st pts	78%	65%
2nd pts	39/62	31/60
%2nd pts	63%	52%

Musetti made 10 aces (5 per match). Tien bagged 2 aces (1 per match). Musetti won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Tien
Won	6	10
Converted	6/11	10/17
% Converted	55%	59%
Conceded	8	12
Saved	6	6
% Saved	75%	50%
Times Broken	2	6

Musetti broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Musetti surrendered his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Tien broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Tien conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R1 Mpetshi	R2 Mannarino	Total
Score	7-63 6-74 6-4	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	36	18	54
pts	107-102	62-41	169-143
Total points	209	103	312
Winners	57	22	79
%Winners	53%	35%	47%
SERVE
Aces	4	6	10
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	73/111	28/52	101/163
% 1st in	66%	54%	62%
1st pts	57/73	22/28	79/101
% 1st pts	78%	79%	78%
2nd pts	24/38	15/24	39/62
% 2nd pts	63%	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/5	4/6	6/11
Converted %	40%	67%	55%
Conceded	5	3	8
Saved	4/5	2/3	6
Saved %	80%	67%	74%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Tien
	R1 Cerundolo	R2 Cobolli	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-4	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	29	17	46
pts	94-88	63-45	157-133
Total points	182	108	290
Winners	36	24	60
%Winners	38%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2
Double Faults	6	1	7
1st in	56/93	36/59	92/152
% 1st in	60%	61%	61%
1st pts	36/56	24/36	60/92
% 1st pts	64%	67%	65%
2nd pts	19/37	12/23	31/60
% 2nd pts	51%	52%	52%
Breaks
Won	5	5	10
Converted	5/8	5/9	10/17
Converted %	63%	56%	59%
Conceded	7	5	12
Saved	3/7	3/5	6
Saved %	43%	60%	52%
Times Broken	4	2	6

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• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-1) – H2H and prediction