Alex De Minaur and Jakub Mensik will square off in the quarter of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.44
Jakub Mensik -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jakub Mensik
This will be the 4th time that Alex De Minaur and Jakub Mensik square off. The head to head is 3-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, De Minaur won 6-3 6-4 in the R in Laver cup back in September 2025.
Alex De Minaur
46 - 17win/loss
7
6
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Alex reached the quarter after defeating Bu Yunchaokete 6-4 6-0 and Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 3-6 7-6(2).
In the 2nd round, The Australian defeated Rinderknech (6-3 3-6 7-62). During the match, De Minaur scored 95 points vs Rinderknech’s 85. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was very effective on serve to win 79% (46/58) of his 1st serve and 76% (19/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke Rinderknech once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (405-222). 26-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an aggregate 197-95 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).
Alex has an aggregate 46-17 win-loss record in 2025, 26-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Jakub Mensik
34 - 20win/loss
19
16
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-22 | 22-12 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-27 | 26-12 | 6-4 | 7-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 10-6 | 17-11 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-16 | 18-4 | 17-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Czech reached the quarter after defeating Miomir Kecmanovic 7-5 6-4 and Arthur Cazaux 6-3 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Czech defeated Cazaux (6-3 2-6 6-4). During the match Mensik scored 87 points vs Cazaux’s 82. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Mensik scored 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jakub Mensik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mensik put 62% of his first serves in, winning 74% (37/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Cazaux 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Miami where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(4).
Mensik has an aggregate 34-20 win-loss record in 2025, 22-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 49 |
| Pts | 158-130 | 171-161 |
| Total Points | 288 | 332 |
| Winners | 72 | 68 |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% |
Both De Minaur and Mensik played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set, while Jakub Mensik conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, De Minaur and Mensik have played the same amount of sets 5. However, De Minaur played 2 games less than Mensik. De Minaur scored 72 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Mensik bagged 68 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 10 |
| 1st in | 92/134 | 91/169 |
| %1st in | 69% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 72/92 | 68/91 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 28/42 | 34/78 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 44% |
De Minaur recorded 17 aces (8.5 per match). Mensik recorded 20 aces (10 per match). De Minaur won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Mensik won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 8/19 |
| % Converted | 33% | 42% |
| Conceded | 6 | 22 |
| Saved | 5 | 16 |
| % Saved | 83% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
De Minaur broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Mensik broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Jakub conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | ||||
| R1 Yunchaokete | R2 Rinderknech | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 3-6 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 31 | 47 | |
| pts | 63-45 | 95-85 | 158-130 | |
| Total points | 108 | 180 | 288 | |
| Winners | 26 | 46 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/51 | 58/83 | 92/134 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 70% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 46/58 | 72/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 19/25 | 28/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 76% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 1/4 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 25% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mensik | ||||
| R1 Kecmanovic | R2 Cazaux | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 27 | 49 | |
| pts | 84-79 | 87-82 | 171-161 | |
| Total points | 163 | 169 | 332 | |
| Winners | 31 | 37 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 41/88 | 50/81 | 91/169 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 62% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 31/41 | 37/50 | 68/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/47 | 14/31 | 34/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 45% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/11 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 27% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 5 | 22 | |
| Saved | 14/17 | 2/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 40% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-1) – H2H and prediction