Alex Rybakov and Abedallah Shelbayh will face off in the final of the Las Vegas Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Abedallah Shelbayh who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Abedallah Shelbayh is the pick to win this match.
Abedallah Shelbayh -> 1.58
Alex Rybakov -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Alex Rybakov vs. Abedallah Shelbayh

There is no head to head record between Alex Rybakov and Abedallah Shelbayh since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Alex Rybakov

Ranked no. 313, Rybakov reached the final after defeating Tyler Cox 6-3 6-1, James Kent Trotter 6-4 7-6(8), Philip Sekulic 7-6(5) 6-4 and Andre Ilagan 7-6(4) 6-3.

In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Ilagan (7-6⁴ 6-3). During the match, Rybakov scored 86 points vs Ilagan’s 72. Rybakov was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakov recorded 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alex Rybakov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rybakov put 79% of his first serves in, winning 60% (33/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Ilagan 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Rybakov has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (257-169). 24-11 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakov has an aggregate 97-74 match record in the last years on hard.

The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Montreal,M25 Bakersfield,M25 Pensacola,M25 Tulsa and M25 Dallas.

The American has a composed 47-21 win-loss record in 2025, 24-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger

Abedallah Shelbayh

Ranked no. 437, Abedallah reached the final after beating Alfredo Perez 6-3 6-4, Nicolas Mejia 7-5 6-1, Jurij Rodionov 3-6 6-4 6-2 and Benjamin Hassan 6-3 6-1.

In the semifinal, Abedallah had a good straight sets win against Hassan (6-3 6-1). During the match Shelbayh scored 63 points vs Hassan’s 42. Shelbayh was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Shelbayh scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Abedallah Shelbayh was very efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The broke Hassan 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shelbayh has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Shelbayh’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Astana Challenger and the Las Vegas Challenger.

Shelbayh has an aggregate 21-26 win-loss record in 2025, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakov	Shelbayh
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	84	81
Pts	307-255	298-242
Total Points	562	540
Winners	130	115
%Winners	42%	39%

Both Rybakov and Shelbayh played 4 matches. At the moment, Abedallah Shelbayh dropped 1 set while Alex Rybakov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakov has played 1 set(s) less than Shelbayh (8 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Rybakov played 3 games more than Shelbayh. Alex scored 130 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Abedallah recorded 115 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakov	Shelbayh
Aces	15	19
Avg per match	3.8	4.8
1st in	179/267	152/257
%1st in	67%	59%
1st pts	130/179	115/152
%1st pts	73%	76%
2nd pts	54/88	54/105
%2nd pts	61%	51%

Rybakov struck 15 aces (3.8 per match). Shelbayh made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Rybakov won 73% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Shelbayh won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakov	Shelbayh
Won	12	17
Converted	12/27	17/38
% Converted	44%	45%
Conceded	18	23
Saved	14	18
% Saved	78%	78%
Times Broken	4	5

Alex broke his opponents 12 times with a 44% conversion rate. Alex surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Abedallah broke his opponents 17 times with a 45% conversion rate. Shelbayh conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Rybakov
	R1 Cox	R2 Kent	1/4 Sekulic	1/2 Ilagan	Total
Score	6-3 6-1	6-4 7-68	7-65 6-4	7-64 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	16	23	23	22	84
pts	67-38	80-74	74-71	86-72	307-255
Total points	105	154	145	158	562
Winners	24	39	34	33	130
%Winners	36%	49%	46%	38%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	2	4	15
Double Faults	1	2	3	4	10
1st in	26/36	51/85	47/76	55/70	179/267
% 1st in	72%	60%	62%	79%	67%
1st pts	24/26	39/51	34/47	33/55	130/179
% 1st pts	92%	76%	72%	60%	73%
2nd pts	8/10	21/34	18/29	7/15	54/88
% 2nd pts	80%	62%	62%	47%	61%
Breaks
Won	4	1	2	5	12
Converted	4/9	1/1	2/5	5/12	12/27
Converted %	44%	100%	40%	42%	44%
Conceded	0	5	4	9	18
Saved	0/0	5/5	3/4	6/9	14
Saved %	–	100%	75%	67%	61%
Times Broken	0	0	1	3	4

Shelbayh
	R1 Perez	R2 Mejia	1/4 Rodionov	1/2 Hassan	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	7-5 6-1	3-6 6-4 6-2	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	19	19	27	16	81
pts	68-52	75-62	92-86	63-42	298-242
Total points	120	137	178	105	540
Winners	33	22	36	24	115
%Winners	49%	29%	39%	38%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	5	6	6	19
Double Faults	5	0	5	1	11
1st in	38/65	32/64	50/83	32/45	152/257
% 1st in	58%	50%	60%	71%	59%
1st pts	33/38	22/32	36/50	24/32	115/152
% 1st pts	87%	69%	72%	75%	76%
2nd pts	14/27	16/32	16/33	8/13	54/105
% 2nd pts	52%	50%	48%	62%	51%
Breaks
Won	2	6	4	5	17
Converted	2/5	6/15	4/11	5/7	17/38
Converted %	40%	40%	36%	71%	45%
Conceded	4	9	8	2	23
Saved	4/4	7/9	6/8	1/2	18
Saved %	100%	78%	75%	50%	76%
Times Broken	0	2	2	1	5

Tennis Scores in Las Vegas Challenger

• Benjamin Kittay/Joshua SheehyKittay/Joshua Sheehy – Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt (7-5 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings

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