Vilius Gaubas and Henrique Rocha will clash against each other in the final of the Lisbon Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on ESTADIO CIF. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.78
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.95
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Henrique Rocha
There is no head to head record between Vilius Gaubas and Henrique Rocha since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Vilius Gaubas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-29 | 5-2 | 21-23 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 40-28 | 1-4 | 36-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-35 | 7-4 | 40-28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-26 | 3-3 | 55-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-17 | 4-4 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 165, Vilius reached the final after beating Carlos Taberner 6-1 6-4, Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-5 7-6(5), Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-1 6-4 and Ignacio Buse 7-5 7-6(4).
In the semifinal, The Lithuanian had a good straight sets win against Buse (7-5 7-64). During the match, Gaubas scored 85 points vs Buse’s 81. Gaubas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gaubas was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Vilius Gaubas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Gaubas put 71% of his first serves in, winning 55% (33/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the 2nd serve. Vilius broke Buse 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Lithuanian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Gaubas has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 60% of his matches (163-108). 30-15 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaubas has a composed142-80 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Menorca Challenger where he beat Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.
Gaubas has a composed 34-24 win-loss record in 2025, 30-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
Henrique Rocha
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-24 | 8-6 | 24-13 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 34-29 | 16-9 | 16-17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-33 | 10-7 | 27-22 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-27 | 47-11 | 17-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 171, the Portuguese got to the final after beating Pedro Araujo 6-4 6-3, Jan Choinski 6-1 6-4, Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 6-4 and Stefano Travaglia 4-6 6-4 7-6(3).
In the semifinal against Travaglia, The Portuguese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-63). During the match Rocha scored 102 points vs Travaglia’s 100. Henrique was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Rocha scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 7 double faults. Henrique Rocha lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rocha put 56% of his first serves in, winning 77% (48/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (20/49) on the 2nd serve. Henrique broke Travaglia 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Henrique has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Portuguese’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger and the Lisbon Challenger.
The Portuguese has an aggregate 26-23 win-loss record in 2025, 14-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lisbon Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaubas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 88 |
| Pts | 300-261 | 299-254 |
| Total Points | 561 | 553 |
| Winners | 130 | 111 |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% |
Both Gaubas and Rocha played 4 matches. At the moment, Henrique Rocha surrendered 1 set while Vilius Gaubas hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Gaubas has played 1 set(s) less than Rocha (8 vs 9). Therefore, Gaubas played 4 games less than Rocha. Vilius scored 130 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Rocha scored 111 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaubas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 203/292 | 148/276 |
| %1st in | 70% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 130/203 | 111/148 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 53/89 | 66/128 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 52% |
Gaubas blasted 4 aces (1 per match). Rocha managed to score 9 aces (2.3 per match). Gaubas won 64% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Rocha won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaubas | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 16 |
| Converted | 14/25 | 16/32 |
| % Converted | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded | 26 | 21 |
| Saved | 20 | 13 |
| % Saved | 77% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
The Lithuanian broke his opponents 14 times with a 56% conversion rate. Vilius conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Rocha broke his opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Rocha conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaubas | ||||||
| R1 Taberner |
R2 Ferreira Silva |
1/4 Merida |
1/2 Buse |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 7-5 7-65 | 6-1 6-4 | 7-5 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 17 | 25 | 84 | |
| pts | 62-46 | 86-82 | 67-52 | 85-81 | 300-261 | |
| Total points | 108 | 168 | 119 | 166 | 561 | |
| Winners | 32 | 36 | 29 | 33 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 42% | 43% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 45/60 | 57/87 | 41/61 | 60/84 | 203/292 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 66% | 67% | 71% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 32/45 | 36/57 | 29/41 | 33/60 | 130/203 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 63% | 71% | 55% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 18/30 | 10/20 | 16/24 | 53/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/8 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 14/25 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 38% | 57% | 67% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 4/6 | 4/5 | 5/8 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 80% | 63% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Rocha | ||||||
| R1 Araujo |
R2 Choinski |
1/4 Llamas |
1/2 Travaglia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 19 | 33 | 88 | |
| pts | 71-59 | 60-46 | 66-49 | 102-100 | 299-254 | |
| Total points | 130 | 106 | 115 | 202 | 553 | |
| Winners | 22 | 24 | 17 | 48 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 40% | 26% | 47% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 29/54 | 32/55 | 25/56 | 62/111 | 148/276 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 58% | 45% | 56% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 24/32 | 17/25 | 48/62 | 111/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 75% | 68% | 77% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/25 | 15/23 | 22/31 | 20/49 | 66/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 65% | 71% | 41% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 3/4 | 3/9 | 4/6 | 16/32 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 75% | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 4/4 | 1/2 | 5/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 50% | 56% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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