Sebastian Korda is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Tokyo. The American has defeated Marcos Giron 4-6 6-3 7-64 and Sho Shimabukuro 6-1 6-4 to reach the quarter where he will face Taylor Fritz.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Sebastian Korda’s projected draw includinghisprojected opponents in Japan Open Tennis Championships. Sebastian has a negative record (2-6) against the presumable opponents.

R1 – Marcos Giron (48) – 4-6 6-3 7-64
R2 – Sho Shimabukuro (273) – 6-1 6-4
1/4 – Taylor Fritz (5) – H2H 1-2
1/2 – Holger Rune (11) – H2H 0-0
or Jenson Brooksby (86) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (1) – H2H 1-4
or Casper Ruud (12) – H2H 0-1
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Taylor Fritz

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 47-17 win-loss record in 2025, 28-10 on hard. Regarding the last 12 years, Taylor has a 264-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Taylor won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4), in Stuttgart where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0), and in Eastbourne where he overcame Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships the American was defeated by Arthur Fils in the 1st round 6-4 3-6 6-3.

H2H Sebastian Korda vs. Taylor Fritz

This match would represent the 4th time that Sebastian Korda and Taylor Fritz clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), but Korda has a winning record of 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Holger Rune’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

36 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
2020 32-16 1-3 28-11 3-2 0-0 0-0
2019 6-10 0-3 5-6 1-1 0-0 0-0
2018 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0

Holger Rune has a 31-19 win-loss record in 2025, 17-8 on hard. Talking about the previous 8 years, the Dane has a 68-50 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Rune won 6 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the season was winning the competition in Barcelona where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Rune capitulated to Arthur Fils in the semifinal 7-6(8) 7-6(10).

H2H Sebastian Korda vs. Holger Rune

There is no head to head record between Sebastian Korda and Holger Rune since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Nonetheless, Sebastian Korda may square off with Jenson Brooksby. Their head to head is 1-0 for Sebastian Korda

.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 64-7 record in 2025, 25-4 on hard. Regarding the previous 8 years, Carlos has a 122-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Carlos won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of this year was winning the tournament in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, in Cincinnati where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret., and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships the Spaniard didn’t compete in this event.

H2H Sebastian Korda vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This contest would be 6th time that Sebastian Korda and Carlos Alcaraz play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Sebastian Korda could compete against Casper Ruud. Their head to head is 1-0 for Casper Ruud.