Brandon Nakashima is 3 wins away to conquer the title in Tokyo. Brandon has defeated Jordan Thompson 6-76 7-64 6-2 and Marton Fucsovics 7-5 6-3 to reach the quarter where he will face Carlos Alcaraz.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Brandon Nakashima’s projected draw includinghisprojected opposition in Japan Open Tennis Championships. The American has a unfavourable record (1-5) against the projected opposition.

R1 – Jordan Thompson (78) – 6-76 7-64 6-2
R2 – Marton Fucsovics (58) – 7-5 6-3
1/4 – Carlos Alcaraz (1) – H2H 0-2
1/2 – Casper Ruud (12) – H2H 0-1
or Aleksandar Vukic (95) – H2H 2-2
Fin – Taylor Fritz (5) – H2H 1-2
or Holger Rune (11) – H2H 4-0
Latest Updated
Draw

1/4 – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

71 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 71-9 28-4 22-1 10-3 11-1 0-0
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 64-7 win-loss record in 2025, 25-4 on hard. Talking about the previous 8 years, Alcaraz has a 122-29 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alcaraz won 9 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2, in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0, in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1, at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2), in London where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2, in Cincinnati where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret., and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Alcaraz didn’t play in this tournament.

H2H Brandon Nakashima vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This contest would be 3rd time that Brandon Nakashima and Carlos Alcaraz fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

1/2 – Casper Ruud’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Casper Ruud

39 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
12
High
2
LLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-16 12-8 14-5 13-3 0-0 0-0
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 8-10 27-13 9-7 0-1 0-0
2018 43-29 19-9 19-18 5-1 0-1 0-0

Casper Ruud has a 32-12 record in 2025, 11-6 on hard. As for the previous 11 years, the Norwegian has a 117-76 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Ruud won 6 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of this year was winning the competition in Madrid where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 3-6 6-4.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Ruud surrendered to Jordan Thompson in the 1st round 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Brandon Nakashima vs. Casper Ruud

This contest would be 2nd time that Brandon Nakashima and Casper Ruud face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Brandon Nakashima may take on Aleksandar Vukic. Their head to head record is 2-2.

Final – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Taylor Fritz

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 47-17 record in 2025, 28-10 on hard. In the course of the last 12 years, Taylor has a 264-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Fritz won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best achievement of the year was winning the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4), in Stuttgart where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0), and in Eastbourne where he beat Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Taylor was defeated by Arthur Fils in the 1st round 6-4 3-6 6-3.

H2H Brandon Nakashima vs. Taylor Fritz

This would be the 4th time that Brandon Nakashima and Taylor Fritz square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Brandon Nakashima could fight against Holger Rune. Their head to head is 4-0 for Brandon Nakashima.