Casper Ruud and Aleksandar Vukic will clash against each other in the quarter of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.35
Aleksandar Vukic -> 3.2

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Aleksandar Vukic

This will be the 2^nd time that Casper Ruud and Aleksandar Vukic fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Vukic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Vukic won 6-4 6-4 in the 2^nd round in Shanghai back in 2024.

Highlights Aleksandar Vukic vs Casper Ruud – Shanghai 04-October-2024

Casper Ruud

Ranked no. 12, the Norwegian got to the quarter after beating Shintaro Mochizuki 4-6 6-1 6-1 and Matteo Berrettini 7-6(4) 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Ruud had a good straight sets win against Berrettini (7-6⁴ 6-2). During the match, Ruud scored 66 points vs Berrettini’s 55. Casper was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Casper Ruud was very effective on serve to win 86% (36/42) of his 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Norwegian broke Berrettini twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ruud has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (423-223). 11-6 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ruud has a composed 117-75 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Madrid where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 3-6 6-4.

Casper has a compiled 32-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Aleksandar Vukic

Ranked no. 95, the Australian got to the quarter after beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2, Rei Sakamoto 6-4 7-6(5), Damir Dzumhur 6-4 3-6 6-3 and Daniel Altmaier 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Aleksandar had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-4 6-2). During the match Vukic scored 61 points vs Altmaier’s 46. Vukic was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about serving, Vukic scored 7 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Aleksandar Vukic was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (23/30) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vukic broke Altmaier 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aleksandar started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Vukic’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Estoril Challenger.

Vukic has an overall 24-31 win-loss record in 2025, 14-17 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Tokyo

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ruud	Vukic
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	5	10
Tot Games	45	100
Pts	150-113	309-276
Total Points	263	585
Winners	75	133
%Winners	50%	43%

Ruud played 2 matches while Vukic competed in 4 matches. Vukic started his run from the qualifications while Ruud had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud conceded 1 set, while Aleksandar Vukic lost 2 sets. Ruud has played 5 set(s) less than Vukic (5 vs 10). Therefore, Ruud played 55 games less than Vukic. Casper scored 75 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Vukic fired 133 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ruud	Vukic
Aces	13	50
Avg per match	6.5	12.5
1st in	90/120	161/293
%1st in	75%	55%
1st pts	75/90	133/161
%1st pts	83%	83%
2nd pts	12/30	77/132
%2nd pts	40%	58%

Ruud blasted 13 aces (6.5 per match). Vukic fired 50 aces (12.5 per match). Ruud won 83% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Vukic won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ruud	Vukic
Won	8	9
Converted	8/16	9/15
% Converted	50%	60%
Conceded	6	9
Saved	4	8
% Saved	67%	89%
Times Broken	2	1

Ruud broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Casper conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
	R1 Mochizuki	R2 Berrettini	Total
Score	4-6 6-1 6-1	7-64 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	24	21	45
pts	84-58	66-55	150-113
Total points	142	121	263
Winners	39	36	75
%Winners	46%	55%	50%
SERVE
Aces	10	3	13
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	48/63	42/57	90/120
% 1st in	76%	74%	75%
1st pts	39/48	36/42	75/90
% 1st pts	81%	86%	83%
2nd pts	4/15	8/15	12/30
% 2nd pts	27%	53%	40%
Breaks
Won	6	2	8
Converted	6/13	2/3	8/16
Converted %	46%	67%	50%
Conceded	6	0	6
Saved	4/6	0/0	4
Saved %	67%	–	34%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Vukic
	Q1 Kovacevic	Q3 Sakamoto	R1 Dzumhur	R2 Altmaier	Total
Score	6-4 6-74 6-2	6-4 7-65	6-4 3-6 6-3	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	10
Tot Games	31	23	28	18	100
pts	97-81	72-74	79-75	61-46	309-276
Total points	178	146	154	107	585
Winners	42	34	34	23	133
%Winners	43%	47%	43%	38%	43%
SERVE
Aces	21	10	12	7	50
Double Faults	1	2	3	0	6
1st in	51/83	40/80	40/80	30/50	161/293
% 1st in	61%	50%	50%	60%	55%
1st pts	42/51	34/40	34/40	23/30	133/161
% 1st pts	82%	85%	85%	77%	83%
2nd pts	21/32	20/40	22/40	14/20	77/132
% 2nd pts	66%	50%	55%	70%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	1	2	3	9
Converted	3/4	1/3	2/2	3/6	9/15
Converted %	75%	33%	100%	50%	60%
Conceded	0	4	5	0	9
Saved	0/0	4/4	4/5	0/0	8
Saved %	–	100%	80%	–	90%
Times Broken	0	0	1	0	1

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

• Rohan Bopanna/Takeru YuzukiBopanna/Takeru Yuzuki – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Casper RuudRuud – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (2-0) – H2H and prediction