Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Korda will play each other in the quarter of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on COLOSSEUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.31
Sebastian Korda -> 3.45

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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Sebastian Korda

This will be the 4^th time that Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Korda square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), but Korda has a winning record of 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Korda won 6-4 7-6(4) in the 2^nd round in Montreal back in 2024.

Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz – Montreal 10-August-2024

Taylor Fritz

Ranked no. 5, the American reached the quarter after defeating Gabriel Diallo 4-6 6-3 7-6(3) and Nuno Borges 7-5 7-6(4).

In the 2^nd round, Taylor had a good straight sets win against Borges (7-5 7-6⁴). During the match, Fritz scored 87 points vs Borges’s 75. Taylor was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Fritz made 15 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Taylor Fritz lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Fritz put 65% of his first serves in, winning 84% (36/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (7/23) on the 2nd serve. Taylor broke Borges 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (409-236). 28-10 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fritz has a composed 237-119 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4) and in Stuttgart where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0) and in Eastbourne where he defeated Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Fritz has a compiled 47-17 win-loss record in 2025, 28-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Sebastian Korda

Ranked no. 74, Sebastian reached the quarter after defeating Marcos Giron 4-6 6-3 7-6(4) and Sho Shimabukuro 6-1 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Shimabukuro (6-1 6-4). During the match Korda scored 68 points vs Shimabukuro’s 50. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Korda scored 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sebastian Korda was quite effective on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sebastian broke Shimabukuro 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sebastian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Sebastian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Korda has a compiled 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Tokyo

Korda has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Fritz	Korda
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	57	49
Pts	182-167	172-151
Total Points	349	323
Winners	92	80
%Winners	51%	47%

Both Fritz and Korda played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Taylor Fritz dropped 1 set, while Sebastian Korda lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Fritz and Korda have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Fritz played 8 games more than Korda. Fritz scored 92 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 80 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Fritz	Korda
Aces	28	17
Avg per match	14	8.5
1st in	117/171	100/179
%1st in	68%	56%
1st pts	92/117	80/100
%1st pts	79%	80%
2nd pts	23/54	39/79
%2nd pts	43%	49%

Fritz struck 28 aces (14 per match). Korda scored 17 aces (8.5 per match). Fritz won 79% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Fritz	Korda
Won	6	5
Converted	6/15	5/11
% Converted	40%	45%
Conceded	8	19
Saved	3	17
% Saved	38%	89%
Times Broken	5	2

Fritz broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded. Korda broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve twice and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Fritz
	R1 Diallo	R2 Borges	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 7-63	7-5 7-64
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	32	25	57
pts	95-92	87-75	182-167
Total points	187	162	349
Winners	56	36	92
%Winners	59%	41%	51%
SERVE
Aces	13	15	28
Double Faults	4	1	5
1st in	74/105	43/66	117/171
% 1st in	70%	65%	68%
1st pts	56/74	36/43	92/117
% 1st pts	76%	84%	79%
2nd pts	16/31	7/23	23/54
% 2nd pts	52%	30%	43%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/2	4/13	6/15
Converted %	100%	31%	40%
Conceded	3	5	8
Saved	1/3	2/5	3
Saved %	33%	40%	37%
Times Broken	2	3	5

Korda
	R1 Giron	R2 Shimabukuro	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 7-64	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	32	17	49
pts	104-101	68-50	172-151
Total points	205	118	323
Winners	48	32	80
%Winners	46%	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	8	9	17
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	60/108	40/71	100/179
% 1st in	56%	56%	56%
1st pts	48/60	32/40	80/100
% 1st pts	80%	80%	80%
2nd pts	23/48	16/31	39/79
% 2nd pts	48%	52%	49%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5
Converted	2/5	3/6	5/11
Converted %	40%	50%	45%
Conceded	12	7	19
Saved	10/12	7/7	17
Saved %	83%	100%	92%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

• Rohan Bopanna/Takeru YuzukiBopanna/Takeru Yuzuki – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (7-6⁵ 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Casper RuudRuud – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (2-0) – H2H and prediction