Eliot Spizzirri and Alex Bolt will face off in the final of the Jingshan Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Eliot Spizzirri who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Eliot Spizzirri is the pick to win this match.
Eliot Spizzirri -> 1.62
Alex Bolt -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Eliot Spizzirri vs. Alex Bolt

This will be the 2^nd time that Eliot Spizzirri and Alex Bolt face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bolt (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Bolt won 7-6(5) 2-6 6-2 in the qualifications in at the Wimbledon back in June 2025.

Eliot Spizzirri

Ranked no. 128, the American reached the final after defeating Beibit Zhukayev 6-4 6-1, Dalibor Svrcina 4-6 6-4 6-2, Lloyd Harris 7-6(4) ret. and Yannick Hanfmann 7-5 4-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, The American defeated Hanfmann (7-5 4-6 6-4). During the match, Spizzirri scored 98 points vs Hanfmann’s 89. The American was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Regarding the service games, Spizzirri managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Eliot Spizzirri lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Spizzirri put 67% of his first serves in, winning 72% (49/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Hanfmann 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Eliot has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Spizzirri has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 61% of his matches (105-66). 25-13 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Spizzirri has an aggregate75-40 record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the San Diego Challenger where he defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald in the final 6-4 2-6 6-4.

The American has an aggregate 41-26 win-loss record in 2025, 25-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Jingshan Challenger

Eliot has never competed in this tournament before.

Alex Bolt

Ranked no. 221, Bolt reached the final after defeating Evan Zhu 6-3 3-6 6-3, Yusuke Takahashi 6-3 7-6(4), James Duckworth 6-2 6-7(1) 7-6(5), Omar Jasika 4-6 6-4 6-1, Billy Harris 6-3 2-6 6-3 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 3-6 6-3

.

In the semifinal, Bolt defeated Mcdonald (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match Bolt scored 79 points vs Mcdonald’s 76. Alex was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Bolt scored 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Alex Bolt was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (33/46) of his 1st serve and 52% (17/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Alex broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bolt started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Bolt’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Wuxi Challenger.

Bolt has a compiled 25-19 win-loss record in 2025, 16-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Spizzirri	Bolt
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	10	17
Tot Games	90	163
Pts	316-268	524-466
Total Points	584	990
Winners	143	218
%Winners	45%	42%

Spizzirri played 4 matches while Bolt competed in 6 matches. Bolt started his run from the qualifications while Spizzirri had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Eliot Spizzirri surrendered 2 sets, while Alex Bolt conceded 5 sets. Spizzirri has played 7 set(s) less than Bolt (10 vs 17). Therefore, Spizzirri played 73 games less than Bolt. Spizzirri scored 143 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Bolt managed to score 218 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Spizzirri	Bolt
Aces	23	62
Avg per match	5.8	10.3
1st in	207/300	282/478
%1st in	69%	59%
1st pts	143/207	218/282
%1st pts	69%	77%
2nd pts	47/93	108/196
%2nd pts	51%	55%

Spizzirri blasted 23 aces (5.8 per match). Bolt struck 62 aces (10.3 per match). Spizzirri won 69% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Bolt won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Spizzirri	Bolt
Won	15	21
Converted	15/29	21/53
% Converted	52%	40%
Conceded	27	27
Saved	18	14
% Saved	67%	52%
Times Broken	9	13

The American broke his opponents 15 times with a 52% conversion rate. Spizzirri lost his serve 9 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 21 times with a 40% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 52% of the break points that he conceded.

Spizzirri
	R1 Zhukayev	R2 Svrcina	1/4 Lloyd	1/2 Hanfmann	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	4-6 6-4 6-2	7-64 ret.	7-5 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	1	3	9
Tot Games	17	28	13	32	90
pts	69-47	103-89	46-43	98-89	316-268
Total points	116	192	89	187	584
Winners	26	46	22	49	143
%Winners	38%	45%	48%	50%	45%
SERVE
Aces	8	3	3	9	23
Double Faults	0	2	0	3	5
1st in	37/57	68/92	34/49	68/102	207/300
% 1st in	65%	74%	69%	67%	69%
1st pts	26/37	46/68	22/34	49/68	143/207
% 1st pts	70%	68%	65%	72%	69%
2nd pts	12/20	9/24	12/15	14/34	47/93
% 2nd pts	60%	38%	80%	41%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	6	0	5	15
Converted	4/8	6/14	0/2	5/5	15/29
Converted %	50%	43%	0%	100%	52%
Conceded	4	11	3	9	27
Saved	3/4	7/11	3/3	5/9	18
Saved %	75%	64%	100%	56%	74%
Times Broken	1	4	0	4	9

Bolt
	Q1 Zhu	Q3 Takahashi	R1 Duckworth	R2 Jasika	1/4 Harris	1/2 Mcdonald	Total
Score	6-3 3-6 6-3	6-3 7-64	6-2 6-71 7-65	4-6 6-4 6-1	6-3 2-6 6-3	6-3 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	3	3	3	3	17
Tot Games	27	22	34	27	26	27	163
pts	101-86	75-58	94-91	93-84	82-71	79-76	524-466
Total points	187	133	185	177	153	155	990
Winners	36	29	42	47	31	33	218
%Winners	36%	39%	45%	51%	38%	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	12	10	12	12	5	11	62
Double Faults	2	4	0	1	0	5	12
1st in	43/77	31/60	56/95	62/98	44/69	46/79	282/478
% 1st in	56%	52%	59%	63%	64%	58%	59%
1st pts	36/43	29/31	42/56	47/62	31/44	33/46	218/282
% 1st pts	84%	94%	75%	76%	70%	72%	77%
2nd pts	18/34	15/29	28/39	15/36	15/25	17/33	108/196
% 2nd pts	53%	52%	72%	42%	60%	52%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	4	4	4	21
Converted	3/14	3/6	3/3	4/10	4/6	4/14	21/53
Converted %	21%	50%	100%	40%	67%	29%	40%
Conceded	6	2	4	4	6	5	27
Saved	4/6	0/2	3/4	2/4	3/6	2/5	14
Saved %	67%	0%	75%	50%	50%	40%	71%
Times Broken	2	2	1	2	3	3	13

Upcoming matches in the draw