Elena Rybakina and Eva Lys will play each other in the 3^rd round of the China Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on LOTUS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.191
Eva Lys -> 4.7

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Eva Lys

This will be the 2^nd time that Elena Rybakina and Eva Lys face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Rybakina won 7-6(3) 6-2 in the 2^nd round in Rome back in May 2025.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Eva Lys – Rome 09-May-2025

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 10, the Kazakhstani reached the 3^rd round after defeating Caty McNally 7-5 4-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Rybakina defeated McNally (7-5 4-6 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 107 points vs McNally’s 99. Elena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rybakina managed to score 8 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 57% of her first serves in, winning 76% (44/58) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (19/43) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke McNally 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Rybakina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (371-158). 29-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has an overall 178-81 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Strasbourg where she defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the final 6-1 6-7(2) 6-1.

Rybakina has a composed 46-17 win-loss record in 2025, 29-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Eva Lys

Ranked no. 66, Eva got to the 3^rd round after beating Ruien Zhang 6-1 6-0 and Iva Jovic 6-3 4-6 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Lys defeated Jovic (6-3 4-6 7-5). During the match Lys scored 108 points vs Jovic’s 100. Eva was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Lys scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Eva Lys lost the serve 7 times and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Lys put 60% of her first serves in, winning 57% (42/74) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (23/50) on the 2nd serve. Eva broke Jovic 8 times after converting 67% of her break points (8/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lys has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

The German has an overall 28-21 win-loss record in 2025, 19-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Lys
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	31	44
Pts	107-99	162-127
Total Points	206	289
Winners	44	64
%Winners	41%	40%

Rybakina played 1 match while Lys competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina conceded 1 set, while Eva Lys surrendered 1 set. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Lys (3 vs 5). Therefore, Rybakina played 13 games less than Lys. Elena scored 44 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Lys bagged 64 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Lys
Aces	8	3
Avg per match	8	1.5
1st in	58/101	100/161
%1st in	57%	62%
1st pts	44/58	64/100
%1st pts	76%	64%
2nd pts	19/43	30/61
%2nd pts	44%	49%

Rybakina blasted 8 aces . Lys fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Rybakina won 76% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Lys won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Lys
Won	4	13
Converted	4/11	13/20
% Converted	36%	65%
Conceded	5	21
Saved	2	14
% Saved	40%	67%
Times Broken	3	7

The Kazakhstani broke her opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. The German broke her opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. The German conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 McNally	Total
Score	7-5 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	31	31
pts	107-99	107-99
Total points	206	206
Winners	44	44
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	8	8
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	58/101	58/101
% 1st in	57%	57%
1st pts	44/58	44/58
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	19/43	19/43
% 2nd pts	44%	44%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/11	4/11
Converted %	36%	36%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	2/5	2
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	3	3

Lys
	R1 Zhang	R2 Jovic	Total
Score	6-1 6-0	6-3 4-6 7-5
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	13	31	44
pts	54-27	108-100	162-127
Total points	81	208	289
Winners	22	42	64
%Winners	41%	39%	40%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	3
Double Faults	2	10	12
1st in	26/37	74/124	100/161
% 1st in	70%	60%	62%
1st pts	22/26	42/74	64/100
% 1st pts	85%	57%	64%
2nd pts	7/11	23/50	30/61
% 2nd pts	64%	46%	49%
Breaks
Won	5	8	13
Converted	5/8	8/12	13/20
Converted %	63%	67%	65%
Conceded	2	19	21
Saved	2/2	12/19	14
Saved %	100%	63%	163%
Times Broken	0	7	7

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Marcelo ArevaloArevalo – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Pedro SousaSousa (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tommy RobredoRobredo – Riccardo BalzeraniBalzerani (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Danilo PetrovicPetrovic – Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sumit NagalNagal – Martin CuevasCuevas (6-3 2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Jose Hernandez-FernandezHernandez-Fernandez (7-5 3-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Hugo DellienDellien – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-2 6-7⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Cristina BucsaBucsa (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emiliana ArangoArango – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Sofia KeninKenin (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (4-3) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Eva LysLys (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mccartney KesslerKessler – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Belinda BencicBencic – Priscilla HonHon (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction