Daniil Medvedev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:30 pm on LOTUS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.56
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 6th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Davidovich Fokina won 6-4 1-6 6-2 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in 2024.
Highlights Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Daniil Medvedev – Montreal 08-August-2024
Daniil Medvedev
28 - 19win/loss
13
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Russian got to the 2nd round after defeating Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-3 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 61 points vs Norrie’s 43. Medvedev was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Medvedev put 63% of his first serves in, winning 81% (22/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Norrie 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Medvedev has a remarkable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (485-201). 14-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an aggregate 237-78 match record in the last years on hard.
Daniil’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Halle.
The Russian has a compiled 28-19 win-loss record in 2025, 14-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
36 - 21win/loss
14
14
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-26 | 22-14 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Davidovich Fokina got to the 2nd round after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Ugo Carabelli (6-1 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 58 points vs Ugo Carabelli’s 32. Davidovich Fokina was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Davidovich Fokina bagged 6 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Davidovich Fokina broke Ugo Carabelli 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Alejandro’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Delray Beach, Acapulco and Washington.
The Spaniard has a compiled 36-21 win-loss record in 2025, 21-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 16 |
| Pts | 61-43 | 58-32 |
| Total Points | 104 | 90 |
| Winners | 22 | 26 |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% |
Both Medvedev and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Medvedev played 3 games more than Davidovich Fokina. Daniil scored 22 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Davidovich Fokina recorded 26 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 6 |
| 1st in | 27/43 | 33/44 |
| %1st in | 63% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 26/33 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 9/11 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 82% |
Medvedev fired 9 aces . Davidovich Fokina scored 6 aces . Medvedev won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 82% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 45% | 44% |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
The Russian broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Medvedev dropped his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Alejandro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Medvedev | |||
| R1 Norrie | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 61-43 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 27/43 | 27/43 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 22/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 8/16 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | |||
| R1 Ugo Carabelli | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 58-32 | 58-32 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/44 | 33/44 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 26/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/11 | 9/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 82% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 3-6 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-4 5-7 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction