Lorenzo Musetti and Adrian Mannarino will fight against each other in the 2^nd round of the China Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on LOTUS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.5
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 3^rd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Adrian Mannarino face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Musetti and Mannarino (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Musetti won 6-2 5-7 6-2 in the quarter in Chengdu back in 2024.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Adrian Mannarino – Chengdu 22-September-2024

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 9, Lorenzo reached the 2^nd round after defeating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6(3) 6-7(4) 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Musetti defeated Mpetshi Perricard (7-6³ 6-7⁴ 6-4). During the match, Musetti scored 107 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 102. Musetti was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was very efficient on serve to win 78% (57/73) of his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Mpetshi Perricard twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Musetti has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (254-175). 15-9 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has an overall65-55 record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Carlo and Chengdu.

The Italian has a compiled 34-14 win-loss record in 2025, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Adrian Mannarino

Ranked no. 60, the French player reached the 2^nd round after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-1, Jesper De Jong 6-4 6-4 and Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Adrian had a good straight sets win against Bublik (6-3 6-2). During the match Mannarino scored 56 points vs Bublik’s 33. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Mannarino blasted 8 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Adrian Mannarino was very effective on serve to win 83% (25/30) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Adrian broke Bublik 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

The French player best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Newport Challenger.

Adrian has a composed 34-32 win-loss record in 2025, 15-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2016 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Mannarino
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	3	6
Tot Games	36	53
Pts	107-102	183-130
Total Points	209	313
Winners	57	72
%Winners	53%	39%

Musetti played 1 match while Mannarino competed in 3 matches. Mannarino started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti lost 1 set while Adrian Mannarino hasn’t dropped a set so far. Musetti has played 3 set(s) less than Mannarino (3 vs 6). Therefore, Musetti played 17 games less than Mannarino. Musetti scored 57 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, The French player struck 72 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Mannarino
Aces	4	12
Avg per match	4	4
1st in	73/111	92/154
%1st in	66%	60%
1st pts	57/73	72/92
%1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	24/38	37/62
%2nd pts	63%	60%

Musetti bagged 4 aces . Mannarino fired 12 aces (4 per match). Musetti won 78% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Mannarino
Won	2	12
Converted	2/5	12/23
% Converted	40%	52%
Conceded	5	10
Saved	4	8
% Saved	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	2

The Italian broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Adrian conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R1 Mpetshi	Total
Score	7-63 6-74 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	36	36
pts	107-102	107-102
Total points	209	209
Winners	57	57
%Winners	53%	53%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	73/111	73/111
% 1st in	66%	66%
1st pts	57/73	57/73
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	24/38	24/38
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/5	2/5
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	4/5	4
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	1	1

Mannarino
	Q1 Vavassori	Q3 De	R1 Bublik	Total
Score	6-3 6-1	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	16	20	17	53
pts	57-38	70-59	56-33	183-130
Total points	95	129	89	313
Winners	22	25	25	72
%Winners	39%	36%	45%	39%
SERVE
Aces	2	2	8	12
Double Faults	1	2	0	3
1st in	28/46	34/63	30/45	92/154
% 1st in	61%	54%	67%	60%
1st pts	22/28	25/34	25/30	72/92
% 1st pts	79%	74%	83%	78%
2nd pts	12/18	15/29	10/15	37/62
% 2nd pts	67%	52%	67%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	4	4	12
Converted	4/6	4/12	4/5	12/23
Converted %	67%	33%	80%	52%
Conceded	1	6	3	10
Saved	1/1	4/6	3/3	8
Saved %	100%	67%	100%	267%
Times Broken	0	2	0	2

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-3 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 3-6 7-6²) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-4 5-7 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction