Alex Rybakov and Andre Ilagan will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Las Vegas Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andre Ilagan who should win in 3 sets.
Andre Ilagan -> 1.7
Alex Rybakov -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Alex Rybakov vs. Andre Ilagan
This will be the 2nd time that Alex Rybakov and Andre Ilagan play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ilagan (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Ilagan won 7-5 7-5 in the 1st round in the Cary Challenger back in July 2025.
Alex Rybakov
47 - 21win/loss
280
261
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-26 | 24-13 | 8-6 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 11-8 | 12-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 313, the American reached the semifinal after beating Tyler Cox 6-3 6-1, James Kent Trotter 6-4 7-6(8) and Philip Sekulic 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the quarter, Rybakov had a good straight sets win against Sekulic (7-65 6-4). During the match, Rybakov scored 74 points vs Sekulic’s 71. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakov blasted 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Alex Rybakov was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (34/47) of his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rybakov broke Sekulic twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakov hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Rybakov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (256-169). 23-11 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakov has an overall 96-74 record in the last years on hard.
Rybakov’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Montreal,M25 Bakersfield,M25 Pensacola,M25 Tulsa and M25 Dallas.
Rybakov has an aggregate 46-21 win-loss record in 2025, 23-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger
Andre Ilagan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-33 | 30-27 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 41-22 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-6 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 410, Ilagan got to the semifinal after beating Darian King 6-2 6-3, Dmitry Popko 6-4 6-4 and Moerani Bouzige 5-7 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter against Bouzige, Andre recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-1). During the match Ilagan scored 103 points vs Bouzige’s 90. The American was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Ilagan managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Andre Ilagan lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ilagan put 70% of his first serves in, winning 67% (43/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Bouzige 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andre has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Ilagan has an overall 26-25 win-loss record in 2025, 25-24 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 66 |
| Pts | 221-183 | 214-180 |
| Total Points | 404 | 394 |
| Winners | 97 | 93 |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% |
Both Rybakov and Ilagan played 3 matches. At the moment, Andre Ilagan conceded 1 set while Alex Rybakov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakov has played 1 set(s) less than Ilagan (6 vs 7). Therefore, Rybakov played 4 games less than Ilagan. Rybakov scored 97 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Andre struck 93 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 1 |
| 1st in | 124/197 | 126/191 |
| %1st in | 63% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 97/124 | 93/126 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 47/73 | 31/65 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 48% |
Rybakov scored 11 aces (3.7 per match). Ilagan recorded 3 aces (1 per match). Rybakov won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Ilagan won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 13 |
| Converted | 7/15 | 13/26 |
| % Converted | 47% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Saved | 8 | 6 |
| % Saved | 89% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Alex broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Rybakov surrendered his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ilagan conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rybakov | |||||
| R1 Cox | R2 Kent | 1/4 Sekulic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 7-68 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 23 | 62 | |
| pts | 67-38 | 80-74 | 74-71 | 221-183 | |
| Total points | 105 | 154 | 145 | 404 | |
| Winners | 24 | 39 | 34 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 49% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 26/36 | 51/85 | 47/76 | 124/197 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 60% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 24/26 | 39/51 | 34/47 | 97/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 76% | 72% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/10 | 21/34 | 18/29 | 47/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 62% | 62% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 1/1 | 2/5 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 100% | 40% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/5 | 3/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 75% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ilagan | |||||
| R1 King | R2 Popko | 1/4 Bouzige | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | 5-7 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 29 | 66 | |
| pts | 55-41 | 56-49 | 103-90 | 214-180 | |
| Total points | 96 | 105 | 193 | 394 | |
| Winners | 18 | 32 | 43 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 57% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 25/44 | 37/55 | 64/92 | 126/191 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 67% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 18/25 | 32/37 | 43/64 | 93/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 86% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 6/18 | 14/28 | 31/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 33% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/4 | 5/13 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 75% | 38% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 5/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 63% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Las Vegas Challenger
- Finn Reynolds/James WattReynolds/James Watt – George Goldhoff/Theodore WinegarGoldhoff/Theodore Winegar (6-4 6-78 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin Kittay/Joshua SheehyKittay/Joshua Sheehy – Mitchell Krueger/Luis David MartinezKrueger/Luis David Martinez (6-74 7-5 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alex RybakovRybakov – Andre IlaganIlagan (0-1) – H2H and prediction