Ignacio Buse and Vilius Gaubas will square off in the semifinal of the Lisbon Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on ESTADIO CIF. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ignacio Buse who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ignacio Buse is the pick to win this match.
Ignacio Buse -> 1.43
Vilius Gaubas -> 2.66

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Prediction and head to head Ignacio Buse vs. Vilius Gaubas

This will be the 2^nd time that Ignacio Buse and Vilius Gaubas play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Gaubas (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Gaubas won 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the semifinal in the Menorca Challenger back in April 2025.

Ignacio Buse

Ranked no. 116, Buse reached the semifinal after defeating Francisco Rocha 6-3 6-0, Thiago Moura Monteiro 7-6(7) 6-4 and Marco Trungelliti 6-4 3-6 6-3.

In the quarter, The Peruvian defeated Trungelliti (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match, Buse scored 105 points vs Trungelliti’s 98. The Peruvian was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Buse recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ignacio Buse lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Buse put 57% of his first serves in, winning 53% (31/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (29/44) on the 2nd serve. Ignacio broke Trungelliti 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Peruvian has dropped 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Buse has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (140-85). 35-14 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Buse has a compiled119-68 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Heilbronn Challenger where he defeated Guy Den Ouden in the final 7-5 7-5 and the Seville Challenger where he beat Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.

Buse has an aggregate 42-22 win-loss record in 2025, 35-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lisbon Challenger

Buse has never competed in this tournament before.

Vilius Gaubas

Ranked no. 165, Vilius got to the semifinal after beating Carlos Taberner 6-1 6-4

, Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-5 7-6(5) and Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, Vilius had a good straight sets win against Merida Aguilar (6-1 6-4). During the match Gaubas scored 67 points vs Merida Aguilar’s 52. The Lithuanian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Gaubas scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Vilius Gaubas lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gaubas put 67% of his first serves in, winning 71% (29/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Gaubas broke Merida Aguilar 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Lithuanian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Menorca Challenger where he beat Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.

Vilius has an aggregate 33-24 win-loss record in 2025, 29-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lisbon Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Buse	Gaubas
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	66	59
Pts	255-209	215-180
Total Points	464	395
Winners	89	97
%Winners	35%	45%

Both Buse and Gaubas played 3 matches. At the moment, Ignacio Buse surrendered 1 set while Vilius Gaubas hasn’t dropped a set so far. Buse has played 1 set more than Gaubas (7 vs 6). Therefore, Buse played 7 games more than Gaubas. The Peruvian scored 89 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Vilius made 97 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Buse	Gaubas
Aces	8	4
Avg per match	2.7	1.3
1st in	140/223	143/208
%1st in	63%	69%
1st pts	89/140	97/143
%1st pts	64%	68%
2nd pts	57/83	37/65
%2nd pts	69%	57%

Buse struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Gaubas blasted 4 aces (1.3 per match). Buse won 64% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Gaubas won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Buse	Gaubas
Won	11	10
Converted	11/26	10/19
% Converted	42%	53%
Conceded	16	18
Saved	11	15
% Saved	69%	83%
Times Broken	5	3

Buse broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Peruvian dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Gaubas broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Gaubas conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Buse
	R1 Rocha	R2 Moura Monteiro	1/4 Trungelliti	Total
Score	6-3 6-0	7-67 6-4	6-4 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	15	23	28	66
pts	67-40	83-71	105-98	255-209
Total points	107	154	203	464
Winners	23	35	31	89
%Winners	34%	42%	30%	35%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	2	8
Double Faults	0	2	1	3
1st in	32/46	49/74	59/103	140/223
% 1st in	70%	66%	57%	63%
1st pts	23/32	35/49	31/59	89/140
% 1st pts	72%	71%	53%	64%
2nd pts	11/14	17/25	29/44	57/83
% 2nd pts	79%	68%	66%	69%
Breaks
Won	4	2	5	11
Converted	4/11	2/6	5/9	11/26
Converted %	36%	33%	56%	42%
Conceded	3	2	11	16
Saved	3/3	1/2	7/11	11
Saved %	100%	50%	64%	71%
Times Broken	0	1	4	5

Gaubas
	R1 Taberner	R2 Ferreira Silva	1/4 Merida	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	7-5 7-65	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	25	17	59
pts	62-46	86-82	67-52	215-180
Total points	108	168	119	395
Winners	32	36	29	97
%Winners	52%	42%	43%	45%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	1	4
Double Faults	1	4	0	5
1st in	45/60	57/87	41/61	143/208
% 1st in	75%	66%	67%	69%
1st pts	32/45	36/57	29/41	97/143
% 1st pts	71%	63%	71%	68%
2nd pts	9/15	18/30	10/20	37/65
% 2nd pts	60%	60%	50%	57%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	10
Converted	3/4	3/8	4/7	10/19
Converted %	75%	38%	57%	53%
Conceded	7	6	5	18
Saved	7/7	4/6	4/5	15
Saved %	100%	67%	80%	82%
Times Broken	0	2	1	3

Tennis Scores in Lisbon Challenger

• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Alexander RitschardRitschard (6-2 1-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Henrique RochaRocha – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Vilius GaubasGaubas – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Pablo Llamas Ruiz/Sergio Martos GornesLlamas Ruiz/Sergio Martos Gornes – Inigo Cervantes/Daniel CukiermanCervantes/Daniel Cukierman (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Mircea-Alexandru Jecan/Bogdan PavelJecan/Bogdan Pavel – Denys Molchanov/Michael VrbenskyMolchanov/Michael Vrbensky (7-6¹ 7-6⁹) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction