Henrique Rocha and Stefano Travaglia will face off in the semifinal of the Lisbon Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on ESTADIO CIF. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.51
Stefano Travaglia -> 2.42

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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Stefano Travaglia

There is no head to head record between Henrique Rocha and Stefano Travaglia since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Henrique Rocha

Ranked no. 171, Rocha reached the semifinal after defeating Pedro Araujo 6-4 6-3, Jan Choinski 6-1 6-4 and Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Henrique had a good straight sets win against Llamas Ruiz (6-3 6-4). During the match, Rocha scored 66 points vs Llamas Ruiz’s 49. Rocha was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rocha managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Henrique Rocha lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rocha put 45% of his first serves in, winning 68% (17/25) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (22/31) on the 2nd serve. Henrique broke Llamas Ruiz 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Portuguese hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Rocha has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (151-113). 13-14 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rocha has a compiled68-64 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.

Henrique’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 1 Challenger.

Rocha has an aggregate 25-23 win-loss record in 2025, 13-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lisbon Challenger

Stefano Travaglia

Ranked no. 239, Stefano reached the semifinal after defeating Matej Dodig 6-3 6-3, Jaime Faria 6-1 5-7 6-4 and Alexander Ritschard 6-2 1-6 7-6(5).

In the quarter, The Italian defeated Ritschard (6-2 1-6 7-6⁵).During the match Travaglia scored less points (1) than Ritschard. In fact, the world no. 171 won 97 points vs Ritschard’s. That means that Travaglia was more focused during the important points. Travaglia was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Travaglia scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefano Travaglia lost the serve 6 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Travaglia put 60% of his first serves in, winning 61% (40/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. Stefano was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Ritschard 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Travaglia has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Modena Challenger where he defeated Thiago Seyboth Wild in the final 6-4 6-3.

The Italian has an overall 32-18 win-loss record in 2025, 32-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lisbon Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rocha	Travaglia
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	8
Tot Games	55	75
Pts	197-154	253-221
Total Points	351	474
Winners	63	103
%Winners	32%	41%

Both Rocha and Travaglia played 3 matches. At the moment, Stefano Travaglia surrendered 2 sets while Henrique Rocha hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rocha has played 2 set(s) less than Travaglia (6 vs 8). Therefore, Rocha played 20 games less than Travaglia. The Portuguese scored 63 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 103 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rocha	Travaglia
Aces	8	10
Avg per match	2.7	3.3
1st in	86/165	150/249
%1st in	52%	60%
1st pts	63/86	103/150
%1st pts	73%	69%
2nd pts	46/79	51/99
%2nd pts	58%	52%

Rocha bagged 8 aces (2.7 per match). Travaglia scored 10 aces (3.3 per match). Rocha won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Travaglia won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rocha	Travaglia
Won	12	13
Converted	12/26	13/22
% Converted	46%	59%
Conceded	12	14
Saved	8	5
% Saved	67%	36%
Times Broken	4	9

Rocha broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Rocha dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 13 times with a 59% conversion rate. Stefano conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 36% of the break points that he conceded.

Rocha
	R1 Araujo	R2 Choinski	1/4 Llamas	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-1 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	19	17	19	55
pts	71-59	60-46	66-49	197-154
Total points	130	106	115	351
Winners	22	24	17	63
%Winners	31%	40%	26%	32%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	3	8
Double Faults	6	3	5	14
1st in	29/54	32/55	25/56	86/165
% 1st in	54%	58%	45%	52%
1st pts	22/29	24/32	17/25	63/86
% 1st pts	76%	75%	68%	73%
2nd pts	9/25	15/23	22/31	46/79
% 2nd pts	36%	65%	71%	58%
Breaks
Won	6	3	3	12
Converted	6/13	3/4	3/9	12/26
Converted %	46%	75%	33%	46%
Conceded	6	4	2	12
Saved	3/6	4/4	1/2	8
Saved %	50%	100%	50%	67%
Times Broken	3	0	1	4

Travaglia
	R1 Dodig	R2 Faria	1/4 Ritschard	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-1 5-7 6-4	6-2 1-6 7-65
Tot Set	2	3	3	8
Tot Games	18	29	28	75
pts	69-50	87-73	97-98	253-221
Total points	119	160	195	474
Winners	27	36	40	103
%Winners	39%	41%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	1	10
Double Faults	0	2	2	4
1st in	34/50	50/89	66/110	150/249
% 1st in	68%	56%	60%	60%
1st pts	27/34	36/50	40/66	103/150
% 1st pts	79%	72%	61%	69%
2nd pts	10/16	21/39	20/44	51/99
% 2nd pts	63%	54%	45%	52%
Breaks
Won	3	5	5	13
Converted	3/12	5/5	5/5	13/22
Converted %	25%	100%	100%	59%
Conceded	0	4	10	14
Saved	0/0	1/4	4/10	5
Saved %	–	25%	40%	22%
Times Broken	0	3	6	9

Tennis Scores in Lisbon Challenger

• Vilius GaubasGaubas – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Ignacio BuseBuse – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Henrique RochaRocha – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Alexander RitschardRitschard (6-2 1-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Mircea-Alexandru Jecan/Bogdan PavelJecan/Bogdan Pavel – Denys Molchanov/Michael VrbenskyMolchanov/Michael Vrbensky (7-6¹ 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Pablo Llamas Ruiz/Sergio Martos GornesLlamas Ruiz/Sergio Martos Gornes – Inigo Cervantes/Daniel CukiermanCervantes/Daniel Cukierman (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Alexander RitschardRitschard (6-2 1-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Henrique RochaRocha – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Vilius GaubasGaubas – Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar (6-1 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – (0-1) – H2H and prediction