Carlos Alcaraz is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Tokyo. Carlos has defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-2 to reach the 2nd round where he will face Zizou Bergs.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Carlos Alcaraz’s projected draw andhislikely opposition in Japan Open Tennis Championships. Carlos has a positive record (9-2) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Sebastian Baez (41) – 6-4 6-2
R2 – Zizou Bergs (45) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Brandon Nakashima (33) – H2H 2-0
or Marton Fucsovics (58) – H2H 2-0
1/2 – Casper Ruud (12) – H2H 4-1
or Aleksandar Vukic (95) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Taylor Fritz (5) – H2H 3-1
or Holger Rune (11) – H2H 2-2
Latest Updated
Draw

R2 – Zizou Bergs’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

33 - 29win/loss in 2025

Rank
43
High
39
LWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-29 20-16 2-5 7-4 4-4 0-0
2024 47-29 9-9 17-7 15-9 6-4 0-0
2023 38-27 8-7 16-7 9-10 5-3 0-0
2022 39-30 7-5 7-7 17-16 8-2 0-0
2021 38-21 2-5 15-10 21-6 0-0 0-0
2020 21-9 14-6 1-2 6-1 0-0 0-0
2019 32-20 16-6 11-10 5-4 0-0 0-0
2018 63-30 22-9 31-16 10-5 0-0 0-0

Zizou Bergs has a 27-24 record in 2025, 16-14 on hard. Talking about the last 10 years, Bergs has a 94-61 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Bergs won 4 of his last 10 matches.

Bergs’s most significant result of this current season was reaching the final Auckland and Hertogenbosch.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships the Belgian didn’t compete in this event.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Zizou Bergs

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Zizou Bergs since this would be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

1/4 – Brandon Nakashima’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

33 - 30win/loss in 2025

Rank
33
High
29
LLLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-30 19-14 6-8 2-5 6-3 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0
2020 28-14 19-6 4-4 5-3 0-0 0-1
2019 18-9 11-6 0-0 7-3 0-0 0-0
2018 9-5 9-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Brandon Nakashima has a 30-24 win-loss record in 2025, 18-12 on hard. In the previous 10 years, Nakashima has a 126-81 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Nakashima won 6 of his last 10 matches.

The American’s most significant achievement of this current season was getting to the semifinal Acapulco, Houston and Chengdu.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Nakashima lost to Ugo Humbert in the 2nd round 6-3 6-2.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Brandon Nakashima

This match would represent the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Carlos Alcaraz could fight against Marton Fucsovics. Their head to head is 2-0 for Carlos Alcaraz.

1/2 – Casper Ruud’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

39 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
12
High
2
LLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-16 12-8 14-5 13-3 0-0 0-0
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 8-10 27-13 9-7 0-1 0-0
2018 43-29 19-9 19-18 5-1 0-1 0-0

Casper Ruud has a 32-12 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on hard. During the last 11 years, the Norwegian has a 117-76 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Casper won 6 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of this season was conquering the title in Madrid where he defeated Jack Draper in the final 7-5 3-6 6-4.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships the Norwegian was defeated by Jordan Thompson in the 1st round 7-6(5) 6-1.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Casper Ruud

This match would represent the 6th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Carlos Alcaraz may take on Aleksandar Vukic. Their H2H is 1-1.

Final – Taylor Fritz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Carlos Alcaraz

53 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
4
LLWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 31-12 3-4 6-5 13-2 0-0
2024 54-23 23-10 15-7 6-4 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0
2019 40-30 17-14 12-8 4-5 7-3 0-0
2018 45-28 29-12 6-5 5-6 5-5 0-0

Taylor Fritz has a 47-17 win-loss record in 2025, 28-10 on hard. In connection to the previous 12 years, the American has a 264-131 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Taylor won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of this current season was winning the competition in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 5-7 7-6(4), in Stuttgart where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(0), and in Eastbourne where he beat Jenson Brooksby in the final 7-5 6-1.

Last year in Japan Open Tennis Championships Taylor lost to Arthur Fils in the 1st round 6-4 3-6 6-3.

H2H Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz

This match would represent the 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Carlos Alcaraz may fight against Holger Rune. Their head to head record is 2-2.