Holger Rune and Ethan Quinn will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
Holger Rune -> 1.47
Ethan Quinn -> 2.68
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Ethan Quinn
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Ethan Quinn since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Holger Rune
30 - 19win/loss
15
4
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-22 | 20-10 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Holger reached the 2nd round after beating Hamad Medjedovic 7-6(7) 6-1.
In the 1st round, Rune had a good straight sets win against Medjedovic (7-67 6-1). During the match, Rune scored 71 points vs Medjedovic’s 56. Rune was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rune blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Holger broke Medjedovic 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 65% of his matches (281-149). 16-8 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has an aggregate67-50 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Barcelona where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.
Rune has an aggregate 30-19 win-loss record in 2025, 16-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Ethan Quinn
40 - 23win/loss
70
64
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 44-28 | 22-14 | 11-6 | 7-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-34 | 17-18 | 2-7 | 13-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-16 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 8-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-14 | 21-7 | 6-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 81, Ethan reached the 2nd round after beating Yuta Shimizu 7-6(4) 6-4, Mattia Bellucci 4-6 6-4 7-5 and Alex Michelsen 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (7-5 6-2). During the match Quinn scored 69 points vs Michelsen’s 52. Quinn was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Quinn scored 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ethan Quinn was very efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Quinn broke Michelsen 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Ethan’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Canberra Challenger.
Quinn has a composed 40-23 win-loss record in 2025, 22-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Quinn has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 75 |
| Pts | 71-56 | 260-232 |
| Total Points | 127 | 492 |
| Winners | 29 | 113 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Rune played 1 match while Quinn competed in 3 matches. Quinn started his run from the qualifications while Rune had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Ethan Quinn lost 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rune has played 5 set(s) less than Quinn (2 vs 7). Therefore, Rune played 55 games less than Quinn. Holger scored 29 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Quinn managed to score 113 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 8.7 |
| 1st in | 40/63 | 150/236 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 113/150 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 46/86 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 53% |
Rune managed to score 11 aces . Quinn recorded 26 aces (8.7 per match). Rune won 73% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Quinn won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 8 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 8/29 |
| % Converted | 50% | 28% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 75% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Rune broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Holger surrendered his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Quinn broke his opponents 8 times with a 28% conversion rate. Quinn conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||
| R1 Medjedovic | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 71-56 | 71-56 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/63 | 40/63 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 29/40 | 29/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Quinn | |||||
| Q1 Shimizu | Q3 Bellucci | R1 Michelsen | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 32 | 20 | 75 | |
| pts | 78-67 | 113-113 | 69-52 | 260-232 | |
| Total points | 145 | 226 | 121 | 492 | |
| Winners | 39 | 48 | 26 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 42% | 38% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 51/70 | 67/111 | 32/55 | 150/236 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 60% | 58% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 39/51 | 48/67 | 26/32 | 113/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 72% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/19 | 24/44 | 15/23 | 46/86 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 55% | 65% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/12 | 3/8 | 8/29 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 17% | 38% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 8/9 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 89% | – | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taylor FritzFritz – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-64 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Casper RuudRuud – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction