Carlos Alcaraz and Zizou Bergs will face off in the 2^nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.03
Zizou Bergs -> 12.25

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Zizou Bergs

There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Zizou Bergs since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Carlos Alcaraz

Currently world no. 1 Alcaraz got to the 2^nd round after beating Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-2.

In the 1^st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Baez (6-4 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 60 points vs Baez’s 50. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 77% of his first serves in, winning 72% (31/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (5/13) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Baez 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 81% of his matches (350-83). 24-4 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a composed121-29 record in the last 8 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he beat Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2 and in Cincinnati where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-0 ret. and at the U.S. Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4.

Alcaraz has an aggregate 63-7 win-loss record in 2025, 24-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.

Zizou Bergs

Ranked no. 45 (career-high), Zizou reached the 2^nd round after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 1-6 7-6(2) 7-6(4).

In the 1^st round against Tabilo, Zizou recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-6² 7-6⁴).During the match Bergs scored less points (1) than Tabilo. In fact, the world no. 1 won 108 points vs Tabilo’s. That means that Bergs was more focused during the important points. Bergs was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Bergs managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Zizou Bergs was extremely efficient on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 55% (23/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Bergs broke Tabilo once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).

Bergs’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Auckland and Hertogenbosch.

Bergs has an overall 27-24 win-loss record in 2025, 16-14 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Bergs
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	18	33
Pts	60-50	108-109
Total Points	110	217
Winners	31	43
%Winners	52%	40%

Both Alcaraz and Bergs played 1 match. At the moment, Zizou Bergs dropped 1 set while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than Bergs (2 vs 3). Therefore, Alcaraz played 15 games less than Bergs. Carlos scored 31 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian bagged 43 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Bergs
Aces	3	12
Avg per match	3	12
1st in	43/56	60/102
%1st in	77%	59%
1st pts	31/43	43/60
%1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	5/13	23/42
%2nd pts	38%	55%

Alcaraz blasted 3 aces . Bergs made 12 aces . Alcaraz won 72% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Bergs won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Bergs
Won	4	1
Converted	4/5	1/5
% Converted	80%	20%
Conceded	2	5
Saved	1	2
% Saved	50%	40%
Times Broken	1	3

The Spaniard broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Belgian broke his opponent once with a 20% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Baez	Total
Score	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	60-50	60-50
Total points	110	110
Winners	31	31
%Winners	52%	52%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	43/56	43/56
% 1st in	77%	77%
1st pts	31/43	31/43
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	5/13	5/13
% 2nd pts	38%	38%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/5	4/5
Converted %	80%	80%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Bergs
	R1 Tabilo	Total
Score	1-6 7-62 7-64
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	33	33
pts	108-109	108-109
Total points	217	217
Winners	43	43
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	60/102	60/102
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	43/60	43/60
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	23/42	23/42
% 2nd pts	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	1	1
Converted	1/5	1/5
Converted %	20%	20%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	2/5	2
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-6⁴ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Taylor FritzFritz – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-5 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Casper RuudRuud – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction