Alex De Minaur and Arthur Rinderknech will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:30 pm on LOTUS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.115
Arthur Rinderknech -> 6.4

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Arthur Rinderknech

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Arthur Rinderknech since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

45 - 17win/loss

Hard
25-9
I Hard
7-1
Clay
10-5
Grass
3-2
Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 8, De Minaur got to the 2nd round after defeating Bu Yunchaokete 6-4 6-0.

In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-4 6-0). During the match, De Minaur scored 63 points vs Yunchaokete’s 45. De Minaur was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur recorded 10 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Alex De Minaur was exceptionally effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Yunchaokete 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (404-222). 25-9 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has an aggregate 196-95 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

Alex has an aggregate 45-17 win-loss record in 2025, 25-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Beijing
De Minaur's Record

Arthur Rinderknech

Arthur Rinderknech

25 - 30win/loss

Hard
8-13
I Hard
1-2
Clay
9-10
Grass
7-5
Rank
29
High
27
LLLWLWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-35 14-15 9-10 2-5 7-5 0-0
2024 38-33 16-13 6-7 12-8 4-5 0-0
2023 27-30 5-9 10-6 8-9 4-6 0-0
2022 37-23 18-11 6-4 12-5 1-3 0-0
2021 53-30 3-3 18-10 26-15 6-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 54, the French player reached the 2nd round after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 6-4 6-4, David Goffin 6-3 6-2 and David Goffin 6-4 3-6 6-4.

In the 1st round, Arthur defeated Goffin (6-4 3-6 6-4).During the match Rinderknech scored less points (3) than Goffin. In fact, the world no. 8 won 86 points vs Goffin’s. That means that Rinderknech was more focused during the important points. The French player was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Rinderknech bagged 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Arthur Rinderknech was very efficient on serve to win 73% (38/52) of his 1st serve and 54% (26/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rinderknech broke Goffin 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

The French player best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Kitzbuhel.

Rinderknech has a compiled 25-30 win-loss record in 2025, 8-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.

Beijing
Rinderknech's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.De Minaur
A.Rinderknech
1h:27
1h:27
Time on court​
!
5h:02
5h:02
1h:27
1h:27
Last match​
!
2h:28
2h:28
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
16
16
Games Played​
66
66
2
2
Set played​​
7
7
63
63
Total points​
197
197
63
63
Avg point​
65.7
65.7
26
26
Winners
90
90
26
26
Avg Winners​
30
30
41%
41%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
39
39
10
10
Avg Aces
!
13
13
0
0
Double Faults
10
10
0
0
Avg Double Faults
3.3
3.3
26/34
26/34
1st won total​
90/115
90/115
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
9/17
9/17
2nd won total​
49/95
49/95
53%
53%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
4/11
4/11
BP won
6/12
6/12
4/11
4/11
Avg BP won
2/4
2/4
36%
36%
Won
50%
50%
1
1
Conceded
21
21
1
1
Avg Conceded
7
7
0
0
Broken
7
7
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
1
1
Saved
14
14
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Rinderknech
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 16 49
Pts 63-45 149-130
Total Points 108 279
Winners 26 66
%Winners 41% 44%

De Minaur played 1 match while Rinderknech competed in 2 matches. Rinderknech started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Arthur Rinderknech dropped 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t surrendered a set so far. De Minaur has played 3 set(s) less than Rinderknech (2 vs 5). Therefore, De Minaur played 33 games less than Rinderknech. The Australian scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Arthur bagged 66 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Rinderknech
Aces 10 30
Avg per match 10 15
1st in 34/51 81/143
%1st in 67% 57%
1st pts 26/34 66/81
%1st pts 76% 81%
2nd pts 9/17 38/62
%2nd pts 53% 61%

De Minaur fired 10 aces . Rinderknech blasted 30 aces (15 per match). De Minaur won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Rinderknech won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Rinderknech
Won 4 5
Converted 4/11 5/9
% Converted 36% 56%
Conceded 1 9
Saved 1 7
% Saved 100% 78%
Times Broken 0 2

The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Australian quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. Rinderknech broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Rinderknech conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R1
Yunchaokete 		Total
Score 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 63-45 63-45
Total points 108 108
Winners 26 26
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 34/51 34/51
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 26/34 26/34
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 9/17 9/17
% 2nd pts 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/11 4/11
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Rinderknech
Q1
Basavareddy		 Q3
Goffin		 R1
Goffin		 Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-4 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 20 17 29 66
pts 63-41 89-86 86-89 238-216
Total points 104 175 175 454
Winners 28 35 38 101
%Winners 44% 39% 44% 42%
SERVE
Aces 18 9 12 39
Double Faults 1 3 3 7
1st in 29/43 44/75 52/100 125/218
% 1st in 67% 59% 52% 57%
1st pts 28/29 35/44 38/52 101/125
% 1st pts 97% 80% 73% 81%
2nd pts 12/14 18/31 26/48 56/93
% 2nd pts 86% 58% 54% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 2 3 7
Converted 2/5 2/9 3/4 7/18
Converted % 40% 22% 75% 39%
Conceded 0 4 9 13
Saved 0/0 1/4 7/9 8
Saved % – 25% 78% 103%
Times Broken 0 3 2 5

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw

De Minaur
More Stats
Click here
Rinderknech

Click for FULL STATS