Jessica Pegula and Ajla Tomljanovic will play each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on LOTUS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.151
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 5.45

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ajla Tomljanovic

This will be the 5th time that Jessica Pegula and Ajla Tomljanovic face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 6-3 6-2 in the 3rd round in Charleston back in April 2025.

Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Ajla Tomljanovic – Charleston 03-April-2025

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

43 - 19win/loss

Hard
27-10
I Hard
1-2
Clay
11-5
Grass
4-2
Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 7, Jessica will start her run in Beijing after she played her last match in Billie Jean King Cup, Finals where she lost 6-4 6-2 to Paolini in the Rubber 2 on the 21st of September.

The American has an aggregate 43-19 win-loss record in 2025, 27-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Austin where she beat Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Charleston where she defeated Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Bad Homburg where she overcame Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 7-5.

Talking about her overall career, Pegula has an overall 476-265 record. She has a positive 278-136 record on hard.

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2024. See her history.

Beijing
Pegula's Record

Ajla Tomljanovic

Ajla Tomljanovic

21 - 21win/loss

Hard
8-10
I Hard
0-1
Clay
8-6
Grass
5-4
Rank
83
High
32
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-26 14-15 8-6 0-1 5-4 0-0
2024 22-20 12-12 2-4 0-1 8-3 0-0
2023 7-3 2-2 5-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 38-27 19-14 7-6 5-4 7-3 0-0
2021 30-24 11-12 10-6 3-3 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 94, the Australian got to the 2nd round after beating Yuliia Starodubtseva 7-6(1) 6-2.

In the 1st round, Tomljanovic had a good straight sets win against Starodubtseva (7-61 6-2). During the match Tomljanovic scored 81 points vs Starodubtseva’s 60. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Tomljanovic struck 5 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Tomljanovic put 64% of her first serves in, winning 72% (34/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Starodubtseva 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).

The Australian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Austin and Rabat.

Tomljanovic has an overall 21-21 win-loss record in 2025, 8-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See her history.

Beijing
Tomljanovic's Record

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw